Coachella Trading Company - recent posts from TopSportsBets.com community

Play Of The Day Thread-Show Up Sunday 8/1

2010-07-31T21:22:35-07:00

Really dead board as of late. All waiting for football, but let’s pick up the action a bit and get rolling into next week. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Saturday 7/31

2010-07-30T23:05:21-07:00

MLB bit back on Friday night as we got swept. Let’s kill it this weekend. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Friday 7/30

2010-07-29T21:31:32-07:00

Split MLB Thursday but got killed with the Tribe on the larger play. Big weekend ahead, and NFL right around the corner! Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Thursday 7/29

2010-07-28T22:26:44-07:00

MLB has been solid for the last few weeks, and stayed hot with the Padres on Winsday. Let’s keep it up. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Wednesday 7/28

2010-07-27T22:50:44-07:00

Positive day on Tuesday with the Dodgers taking care of the Padres. Lots of afternoon games going today. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Tuesday 7/27

2010-07-26T21:47:38-07:00

No plays Monday, and short on time to recap. Let’s get some actual action on the board tuesday though. Maybe we will see Mike today? Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Back Monday 7/26

2010-07-25T20:35:05-07:00

One move done, one more to go for me next week. Computer and tv back for now though. Nice run in MLB lately – really the last week was solid. Let’s get it again this week. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread – MIA Sunday 7/25

2010-07-24T23:20:33-07:00

SWEPT the MLB card!!!!!!

WAKE UP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Happy Sunday to all – lets get WINNERS!

Play Of The Day Thread-MIA Saturday 7/18

2010-07-23T22:35:23-07:00

Good news is we swept MMA again. MLB took a dive, but MMA helped recover a bit. I am moving Saturday/Sunday with no laptop and no time. If someone can post tonight’s thread – that would be helpful. Kill it Saturday. Good luck, and see ya Sunday night!

Play Of The Day Thread-Friday 7/23

2010-07-22T21:04:52-07:00

MLB is still out, but I need to get this posted. Lost on my own Angels play. Props to MC picks with a nice winner though. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Thursday 7/22

2010-07-21T21:41:16-07:00

BANG – ANOTHER SWEEEP Solid calls, and MLB is picking up. Let’s get it again Thursday. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Wednesday 7/21

2010-07-20T21:00:11-07:00

Main MLB play is still out, however 1 is in as a winner. Several daytime games going today. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Tuesday 7/20

2010-07-19T22:40:30-07:00

Split the two bigger plays, went 1-2 overall. MLB has been very up and down, and boring to boot. Action anyone? I am ready for some rugby wagers. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Monday 7/19

2010-07-18T19:58:00-07:00

New week, new start. Keep counting down to football. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Franchise Finest 7/18, Plays are loaded

2010-07-18T09:56:18-07:00

Ok off a 4-3 day yesterday. I’m looking to end the week on the right note. No write-ups today. I’ve been working on some football as well as trying to cap for the day. Football will be here before you guys know it. We are going to keep killing it. Untill then lets pad our bankroll with some baseball money.

Today for 2 units-

Tor -137

Ari/Sd over 7.5

Cincy -143

Take for 1 unit-

Oak/Kc under 9.5

Hou -140

Mil/Atl under 9

Dodgers -143

Play Of The Day Thread-Sunday 7/18

2010-07-18T07:42:50-07:00

Late start, but got post up. Back in a bit

Franchise Finest 7/17, Plays are loaded

2010-07-17T10:22:31-07:00

Not going to dwell on yesterday. Today is a great new day. I’m liking a lot of total’s today. No write-ups today.

Take for 2 units-

Texas -150

Tor/Bal over 9

Take for 1 unit-

LAD/Stl under 7.5

Hou/Pit under 8

Ari/SDG over 7

Mets/SF over 7

Play Of The Day Thread-Saturday 7/17

2010-07-16T22:07:37-07:00

BANG $$$$$$$$$$$ Nice sweep of MLB Friday night including the triple star winner. Let’s keep increasing the action on the board as we inch closer to football in a few weeks. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Franchise Finest 7/16, Plays are loaded

2010-07-16T07:32:46-07:00

Looking over yesterday’s card my leans were 4-1. So I know we are right back on track after the little break. Todays card is a tricky one. We got a couple teams playing their first game in 5 days. So again we will probably stay with small plays.

Take for 2-
Florida +105 -Strasburg vs. Nolasco. When you see that match-up everyone looks right to one name. “Strasburg”. But Nolasco is pitching quite good as of late. In fact if you look at the last 3 starts for both guys. You find Nolasco has had the better ERA and WHIP. He goes deeper into the game while having more K’s and less walks. Florida isn’t a great home team, but the Nats are a terrible road team. Just 14-29 on the road. And batters are hitting just .239 with an OBP just over .300. Lets take the Fish and give Strasburg his 3rd Loss.

Arizona – Even- I was liking this game a lot last night. But I went to bed thinking its crazy to back the D’backs with that bullpen. But I realized this morning its the right call. Haren throw’s on average 115 pitches a game. He’s going to get deep into the game and take a little of the pressure off that pen. Also the guy is 5-1 against the Padres. Has an era of 3.04 and a whip of 1.138. Garland on the other hand is just 2-2 with a 6.47 era and a whip of 1.594 against the D-backs. In his last 7 outings he has given up 3 or more runs 6 times. So I feel confident in Backing Dan Haren and his Arizona D’backs.

Take for 1-
Detroit -140
Mets +112

other leans-
Pittsburgh +110
Angels -132
Col/Cin under 8.5
Ari/SD over 7

Play Of The Day Thread-Friday 7/16

2010-07-15T21:27:04-07:00

Only one small MLB play on Wednesday lost with some runs put up by LAA. Golf did start pretty well though – especially with the big 6 bet. Hopefully we see Daly hang around the lead for some TV entertainment this weekend. Mike actually wears the same pants JD does. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Back to normal 7/15

2010-07-14T21:08:03-07:00

MLB and PGA going today. Good read on the home page for those of you waking up early to watch some golf! Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Franchise, Intro and Thoughts on the 2nd half of MLB.

2010-07-14T20:40:00-07:00

Whats up guys? Wanted to get this first post up. I had a decent first half of the season. Going 66-54 for +23.1 units. But by no means am I satisfied with that. I know I can and will do better. I make my plays based on a standard 1-3 unit scale. I really like putting out leans and thoughts the night before after the lines come out for Baseball. I go through the card on average 3 times before I put a play out. Line movement plays a big part in my capping, but does not force me to make a play or to get off of one.

What I want everyone to know about me. That is you get honesty and trust. I believe you get back what you put into things. So if you have any questions feel free to ask me, and I’ll do my best to answer them. I love having dialogue to get things solved.

On to the Baseball card:
Texas @ Boston- The Redsox’s are hurting. 8 players on the injury report. Wakefield will take the mound for them who is struggling this year going 3-7 with an era of 5.22. Against the Rangers he is 7-10 with an era of 6.13. His counter part is Tommy Hunter. Hunter is 5-0 with an era of 2.34. He did have his worst outing last time out. But the guy only gave up 3 earned runs on 7 hits. Against boston he’s 1-1 with an 11.73 era. With all of the damage done in that terrible 2nd start of his career.
Got a slight lean to Texas here.

CWS @ Minnesota- We got two teams going in opposite directions. The Whitesox are 9-1 in their last 10. While the Twins are 3-7. Danks is coming off a complete game giving up only 2 hits. Slowey is a real question mark here. Is his ankle truely healed? He did have a great relief appearence for 2 perfect innings.
Both guys have had matchup problems facing these teams. Both guys are below .500 and have allowed over .300 hitting. But with the health of Slowey and the way Danks and the Whitesox’s are playing right now I’m leaning that way.

Dodgers @ St. Louis- Kershaw vs. Carpenter. Both guys have been dominating in this series. Both having era’s at 2.3 and whips of 1.100. But in Carpenters last 3 starts he is 0-2 with an 7.87 era and a whip of 2.0. Kershaw is 2-0 with a 1.74 era and .822 whip. Batters are hitting .244 off of Carpenter and .204 off of Kershaw.
Also the Card’s are 13-18 against teams with a winning record. I’m leaning to the dog here.

Milwaukee @ Atlanta- Lean to Atlanta but the value is already long gone.

Philly @ Cubs- Lean to the Cubs. But really dont have the faith to lay money on them right now.

Mets @ Giants- no leans right now.

BRITISH OPEN PREVIEW

2010-07-14T15:53:44-07:00

It’s time for The British Open!

Love this tournament for many reasons, with these being the Top 2.

1. $$$$

2. Early, early action.

Anyone looking to be PRE-tournament best get this action in in the next 8 hours, as the tournament starts late this evening here in the States.

This year is going to be classic. WIth the British Open, the first thing you MUST talk about is the Weather.

If you can predict the weather, you are already one up on everyone else. I’ll be honest, i’ve spent as much time looking at this weather as i have the tournament itself. The conclusion i’ve come to is, “Who Knows” what we will have from day to day. Heck, we might not even know from hour to hour. However, you can count on RAIN AND WIND. That’s just the way it goes at the British.

With tough elements, you typically look for a player who is strong mentally. You also look for strong ball strikers to do well, as the wind doesn’t manipulate the ball as much. With the rain that fell today in particular, it will help the player who hits it higher and longer. However, with the wind you are looking for a player that also can hit the ball low. What i’m getting at is this is the ultimate test. The course very well might play differently each day. The type of player that is going to win here is one that is strong mentally, and who can literally hit EVERY SHOT in the bag.

like it or not, each golf tournament starts with the betting favorite.

Tiger Woods.

This week very well might be the week for him. Anyone that follows my golf work year in and year out knows that i fade him every chance i get. This year alone, there hasn’t been a single time where i’ve backed him.

That changes this week. I firmly believe he contends this week, and it wouldn’t suprise me at all if he won. He loves St. Andrews. He loves it so much that he puts up with the British press, and he’s ultimately content here. I know this based on how he’s handling the interview room. It’s funny how so many have it backwards. WIth Tiger being short with the media, most people and experts think he’s bothered emotionally. I actually find the opposite to be true, at least with Tiger. When Tiger makes himself vulnerable, that’s when i’ve known in the past that’s he’s struggling. That’s not the case this week. He has that confidence about him, at least that’s what i see.

I know, people are going to talk about the change of putter. I like the change personally. Whenever you put a new putter in the bag, it’s for a reason. Sure he’s been struggling of late and that’s part of the reason he’s changed putters. However, with his success at St. Andrews, he knows what he needs to do to be ready. He’s changed putters this week to handle the slower greens. Tiger struggling this year putting has no influence on how he putts this week because the greens are so completely different. It’s like playing different types of Poker, there are no comparisons.

The common belief is how weak Tiger has performed of late. While he hasn’t won, in the two tournaments he truly cares about he’s tied for 4th in each. That would be the 2 majors so far this year. Some will say that those 2 events were right up his alley, and that’s why he finished so high. My response is what about St. Andrews??? All he’s done there is WIN. Tiger has gone on the record to say that this is his favorite course ever, and his results speak for himself here.

I believe he’s going to win, it’s just a matter of the price we are getting. 5-1 just isn’t enough to me, and i’ll grab another line i like even more to secure our wager. That’s coming.

However, i wanted to give my thoughts on him this week. Everywhere i look and read, it’s the fact that Tiger shouldn’t be the betting favorite. I’ll admit, the fact they are even openly talking betting odds is a start. However, these guys talking betting odds truly don’t understand what goes into the making of the odds in the first part, so their rationale is FLAWED at best. These guys talking about odds is great, because too many people are betting off what they see with the natonal media. That’s all good, because we will fade that thinking, and for good reason. We’ve been betting on golf longer than any of these “experts” to begin with, so let’s get started with the wagers.

I’m not going to list my thoughts on each player featuring odds of 100-1 or less. I did that for the US OPEN, but i’m not going to do that here. That’s because of the WEATHER.

Instead, i’ll just put out my wagers that i personally wagered on.

Now, 2 things before i get started.

Shop the best line. I’ll give an example.

Rght now, i see Charl Schwartzel at 40-1 and 70-1 to win the British. Those odds are courtesy of bodog and betus. So the same result, but two vastly different betting lines. SHOP THE BEST LINE!

Every golf tournament this happens. I put out all this info,and wagers, at no charge. ALWAYS, i get asked “where did you get this line” and my book doesn’t list this. Every wager i put out comes from BODOG unless otherwise noted. Remember that.

SCORING PROPS.

This is where we are going to make our money. We made MASSIVE money at the US OPEN with these wagers, and we will do that again. I can’t stress enough how important it is to hit these exact wagers hard. After i put out this tournament preview, i’ll isolate the guys we are looking to in Round 1. Those that follow me know why we are so successful betting these wagers through bodog. I’m not going to tell that story again.

Let’s do work, and thanks for following! Let’s make that $$$$.

My biggest PRE-Tournament wager:

THE BIG 6 VS. THE FIELD. (+125). RIght now this wager is at +150 at Betus. I’ve already stated that i think Tiger wins this week. His odds are just +500. Now, there are 3 players that i also am high on this week. They are: PADDY HARRINGTON, RORY MCILROY, and ERNIE ELS. In this “Big 6” we get those three players, along with Phil Mickelson and Lee Westwood. Typically this type of wager comes out at +162. It’s lower this week for a reason. So, for those that like Tiger, there is absolutely no reason not to add these other 5 players, and still get PLUS money.

If you look at who wins at St. Andrews, it’s quite the list. Legends win here, plain and simple. If Tiger doesn’t win, i expect one of the other prominent players in the world to do so. At worst, we can hedge out of this wager going into the final round. At +125 and even +150, this is VALUE.

The only other wagers i’m making bigger than this is the DAILY SCORING PROPS

Here are my 5 other wagers i’m on:

The following 3 players to finish in the Top 10. All 3 come at +, so we know the math needed to profit. I could only put out 2 of these players, and ensure profit with just 1 hitting. However, i think we get all 3 of these in the Top 10.

RORY MCILROY TO FINISH IN THE TOP TEN: +165

ERNIE ELS TO FINISH IN THE TOP TEN: +150

PADRAIG HARRINGTON TO FINISH IN THE TOP TEN: +180 *

The other 2 wagers are tournament head to head matchups. This is for the ENTIRE TOURNAMENT:

DAVID DUVAL -110 Tom Watson

CHARL SCHWARTZEL -115 K.J. Choi *

With the above stated big wager already bet, let’s move on to some “long shots.”

PAUL CASEY, 35-1:

ROSS FISHER, 40-1:

SEAN O’HAIR, 66-1:

CHARL SCHWARTZEL, 70-1:

ALVARO QUIROS, 80-1:

TREVOR IMMELMAN, 100-1:

RHYS DAVIES, 100-1:

Those 7 players i might put down just a bit on to win and to finish in the Top 10. Notice there is only 1 American player on this list. In reality, i feel STRONGLY that the Americans struggle this week. Besides Tiger, the only Americans i expect much of are Phil Mickelson and Sean O’Hair. That’s it!

If you are looking for longshots, those are it! One other guy that doesn’t even have odds listed is THOMAS AIKEN. I’m interested to see how he does in Round 1, and to see if we can get him on the updated odds moving forward this week.

Play Of The Day Thread-Nada Wednesday 7/14

2010-07-13T21:11:32-07:00

Easy call with the National League as pitching dominated the night. Props to Crotch for pointing that one out.

FYI to Crotch and anyone asking – Mike is and has taken these days off – with good reason. LOL. He is out on the golf course or something. So any questions – post them on Thursday unless he shows. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-I hate MLB Tuesday 7/13

2010-07-12T20:14:52-07:00

Holy shit. I really hate baseball, and Monday is the reason why. The JUICE IS BACK!!!! That is all I can say about Monday night. Pathetic. Let’s drag our feet for a few days. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Monday 7/12

2010-07-11T19:09:21-07:00

Nice finish to the week with back to back MLB winners. Giants got it done Sunday as small dogs. Gonna be a slow one this week – so start talking football! Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Sunday 7/11

2010-07-11T00:10:55-07:00

Nice call with Houston on Saturday. At least our website works! Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Saturday 7/10

2010-07-09T23:05:09-07:00

Well, that about wraps up my season long 2-1 bet of the Rangers winning the AL West. Gotta be a bettor first and a fan second. Talent just isn’t there IMO for the Angels to make a serious run. They may make a mini run, but in the end they will lose out. Texas could win it all with that roster. Braves pulled through, but other MLB lost on friday. MMA still out. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Friday 7/9

2010-07-08T21:45:07-07:00

As Crotch said so poetically last night – I would like the 1/2 hour of my life back spent watching the Lebron “special”. Terrible. Terrible choice, terrible hype, and bottom line – LA is still the better team, with the best player in the NBA. The heat can have the 2nd and 4th best.

Winners this weekend only. Good luck, and see ya in the AM

Play Of The Day Thread-Lebron Thursday 7/8

2010-07-07T22:50:50-07:00

Glad this shit will be over today! Post your final thoughts on where he is going. And let’s get some winners today too. Good luck, and see ya in the AM