Here are some of the service plays I found today:
SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
N.Y. Mets (16-14) at L.A. Dodgers (18-14)
Dodgers rookie Hiroki Kuroda (1-2, 3.82 ERA) tries again for his first home win when he opposes Nelson Figueroa (2-1, 4.08) and the Mets in the middle game of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium.
Los Angeles continued its winning ways with Monday’s 5-1 victory over New York, improving to 9-1 in its last 10 and 11-3 in its last 13, including four straight home wins. The Dodgers’ offense has carried the club during this stretch, scoring five runs or more in 10 of the last 11 wins. In fact, Joe Torre’s squad has tallied eight or more 10 times in its last 14 victories.
New York has alternated wins and losses in its last six games, and they’re now two games under .500 on the highway (7-9), alternating victories and defeat in the last six as a visitor.
These teams split their 10-game series last year, but the Mets did win five of the last seven, including three of four in Los Angeles.
Kuroda tossed seven solid innings at Florida on Thursday afternoon, allowing three runs on five hits and no walks, but he didn’t factor in the decision as Los Angeles prevailed 5-3. The Japanese phenom has pitched at least six innings in five of his six starts, going 5 2/3 in his other outing.
Kuroda has a 6.00 ERA in two home starts (eight runs allowed in 16 innings), but he didn’t get a decision in either game, with the Dodgers going 1-1.
The Mets are 3-1 in Figueroa’s four starts this season and he hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any outing. His last start came April 27 when he gave up three runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 6-3 home win over the Braves.
Figueroa is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA in three games (one start) on the highway. Also, he’s 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA in two career starts against the Dodgers, though he hasn’t faced them since 2002 as a member of the Brewers.
The total has alternated in Kuroda’s first six big-league starts, with his last outing at Florida staying low, but the over is 2-0 in his two home games. Meanwhile, the under is 3-1 in Figueroa’s four starts this year.
The under is 5-1-1 the last seven times these teams have met, but the over is 7-3-1 in the last 10 meetings on the West Coast, even though Monday’s game stayed low. The over is also 4-2-1 in the Mets’ last seven overall, 14-8-1 in their last 23 road games and 17-10-2 in their last 29 on the road against right-handed starters. Meanwhile the Dodgers are on over runs of 9-4-1 overall, 7-2 at home and 5-1 at home against teams with a winning mark.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Boston (21-13) at Detroit (14-19)
Red Sox veteran Tim Wakefield (2-1, 4.03) faces off against Detroit’s Nate Robertson (1-3, 6.82) for the second time in less than a month, as these A.L. rivals that are heading in opposite directions resume a three-game series at Comerica Park.
Boston survived a shaky start from Daisuke Matsuzaka and beat the Tigers 6-3 on Monday, the team’s fourth straight win and sixth victory in its last seven games. The Red Sox also snapped a three-game road losing skid, but are still just 7-8 on the highway this season.
Detroit has followed up a three-game winning streak with four straight losses, totaling three runs or fewer in three of the four defeats. The Tigers are also just 1-3 against Boston this season, though the home team is still 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
The Red Sox are on streaks of 6-0 on Tuesdays, 8-1 against left-handed starters, 7-1 on the road against lefties, 21-7 against A.L. Central teams, 41-17 versus losing teams and 9-3 in Wakefield’s last 12 starts against Detroit. Meanwhile, the Tigers are in funks of 11-23 in Robertson’s last 34 starts overall, 7-20 in his last 27 when pitching on four days’ rest and 2-6 in his last eight starts against Boston.
Wakefield got the best of Robertson back on April 10 in Boston, giving up two runs (one earned) on three hits and five walks over five innings, winning 12-6. In the loss, Robertson went 5 1/3 innings, allowing four runs on eight hits and two walks. Wakefield is now 14-10 with a 4.41 ERA in 33 games (21 starts) against Detroit, including 2-3 with a 5.08 ERA at Comerica Park, while Robertson is 2-4 with a 6.46 ERA against the Red Sox.
Wakefield has pitched well in his last two starts (three earned runs allowed in 13 innings), but Boston lost both games to Toronto (3-0 at home) and Tampa Bay (5-4 on the road). Wakefield has a 4.00 ERA in three quality starts on the road, but didn’t get a decision in any of those contests.
In his last start against the Yankees in New York, Robertson continued a disturbing season-long trend that has seen him give up four or five runs in all six starts, as he surrendered four runs in 5 2/3 innings, but it was good enough for an 8-4 victory. However, the Tigers are 1-2 in Robertson’s three home starts, with the southpaw going 0-1 with a 6.38 ERA.
The under is 3-1 in Wakefield’s last four outings and 7-3 in his last 10 starts against Detroit. Conversely, the over is 5-2 in Robertson’s last seven outings going back to the end of 2007 and 5-1 in his last six starts against Boston.
The under is 8-3-2 in the last 13 head-to-head matchups, 4-0 in Bonderman’s last four outings against the Sox and 4-1-1 in Bonderman’s six starts this season. The under is also 6-3-1 in Boston’s last 10. However, the over is 5-2-3 in the Tigers’ last 10 at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
NBA PLAYOFFS
EASTERN CONFERENCE
(4) Cleveland (4-2 SU and ATS) at (1) Boston (4-3 SU and ATS)
Having survived a scare by finally disposing of the pesky Hawks, the Celtics now get the honor of facing of LeBron James and the defending Eastern Conference champion Cavaliers as these two tip off their best-of-7 conference semifinal series at TD Banknorth Garden.
Faced with the possibility of being on the wrong side of the biggest playoff upset in NBA history, the Celtics responded in a big way in Sunday’s Game 7 against Atlanta, pummeling the Hawks 99-65 and cashing as a 14½-point favorite. Boston, which has advanced to the second round of the postseason for the first time since 2003, won all four home games against Atlanta by margins of 23, 19, 25 and 29 points, easily covering as a 14½ or 15-point favorite in each contest. The Celtics are now on a 9-0 ATS run at home going back to the regular season.
For the third straight year, Cleveland eliminated Washington in the first round, this time needing six games to get the job done. In Friday’s elimination contest in Washington, LeBron James (27 points, 13 rebounds, 13 assists) recorded a triple-double in leading the Cavs to an easy 105-88 victory as a three-point road underdog. Cleveland went 2-1 SU and ATS in Washington, and is 4-2 SU and ATS in its last six on the highway.
The straight-up winner is 30-1 ATS in Boston’s last 31 games, including 12-0 ATS in the last 12. Meanwhile, the winner is 8-0 ATS in Cleveland’s last eight overall and 9-0 ATS in its last nine on the road.
These teams split their four meetings this year, with the host winning each game. However, the Cavs went 3-1 ATS, including cashing in both battles in Boston, losing 80-70 as a 13½-point underdog and 92-87 as a 9½-point pup. The home team is 5-0 in the last five head-to-head clashes (4-1 ATS), but Cleveland is 7-3-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings, including 4-1-2 ATS in its last seven visits to Boston.
Finally, in this rivalry, the underdog is on a 6-0-1 ATS roll.
Cleveland is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight games after a double-digit win and 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after three or more days off. However, the Cavs are on positive ATS streaks of 33-16 as a road underdog, 14-6 as a playoff underdog and 35-16-1 in road games against teams with a winning home record.
In addition to their current 9-0 ATS home streak, the Celtics are on pointspread runs of 23-8 overall, 16-6 against the Eastern Conference, 37-17-1 after a spread-cover, 14-4 after a double-digit win, 18-7 as a favorite, 9-2 when playing on one day of rest, 10-4 on Tuesdays and 6-1 against the Central Division.
For the Cavs, the under is on streaks of 9-3 overall, 14-5 as a playoff underdog, 4-0 against the Atlantic Division and 10-1 in conference semifinal playoff games. Meanwhile, the under is 6-2 in Boston’s last eight home games, 4-1 in its last five against the Central Division and 2-0 in two home meetings against Cleveland this year. But the over is 4-1 in the Celtics’ last five overall, 11-5 in their last 16 on Tuesdays and 19-7-1 in Cleveland’s last 27 on Tuesdays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Jimmy The Moose
Game: Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays
Reason: The Rays have lost 3 straight games but a game vs. the Jays will get them back on the winning side tonight. Tampa is 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a right-handed starter. The Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games played on turf. Tampa’s offense has been scoring runs while the Jays offense has been sputtering. The Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 games as a home favorite. The Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 division games. The Jays have lost the last 4 meetings between the clubs including all 3 this season. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays +.
VEGAS SPORTS PICS
Cleveland Cavaliers + 9.5 over (at) Boston Celtics
Defending East champ Cleveland is 14-6 ATS last 20 playoff games as a dog. The Cavs went 3-1 ATS (2-2 SU) vs. Celtics this season including a (+10) loss at Boston 92-87 in the latest meeting.
lasvegassportsadvisors
San Diego
Global Handicapping
St. Louis
Templer’s Sports Picks
Arizona
floridabookybusters
San Diego/Atlanta Over 9
Hot Lock Sports
San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates -110
Battle of the Titans….Hardly…..SF is 9-21 L 30 road games and 2-10 L 12 meetings with Pittsburgh. Pitt is 5-13 L 18 overall. Duke is a much better pitcher than what he has shown thus far and we look to a solid outing today. SF is hitting .229 vs lefties with Pitt hitting slightly better at.259. Bucs have the better Pen as well so if Duke piuts together 6 or 7 solid, we see a Pirate W. Pitt for 3 units!
Sports Gambling Hotline
Tonight we like a low-scoring game between the Cavaliers and the Celtics.
Boston is coming off a solid defensive effort that saw them limit Atlanta to a lowly 65-points in Sunday’s 7th game to stop an OVER streak of 4 in a row in that series.
Look for tonight’s game to be a half court battle, and the UNDER to prevail. 6 of the last 8 games Boston has played at home have stayed UNDER the posted price, and Cleveland does come into this one on a 9-3 UNDER run their last 12 games.
Both regular season series meetings on the parquet floor this year stayed UNDER the total, and we see this one staying low as well.
Play on the UNDER in Game One of the East Semis.
4* UNDER
Alex Smart
Seattle Mariners -135
The Seattle Mariners snapped a 5 game losing streak last night with a 7 run out put on their way to a easy lopsided win in the first game of this series against the Texas Rangers . I expect Seattle to extend on the momentum of Mondays effort, in game 2, behind the arm of Miguel Batista ,who is off a brilliant 4 hit , 1 ER 7 inning performance in his last trip the hill vs the Indians. Final notes & Key Trends: The Rangers have lost 13 of their L/16 here in the Emerald City. Mariners are 5-0 in Batistas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record like Texas. Play on Seattle
LT Profits
Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5
Let us preface our analysis of this game by saying that we expect the Boston Celtics to win this series vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers fairly easily. That said, we do expect the Cavaliers to stay inside this big number in Game 1.
Cleveland actually covered three of the four meetings with the Celtics this season with the home team winning outright on every occasion, including nice cover here in Boston in a narrow 92-87 loss the last time these teams met. As usual, LeBron James led the way with 26 points in that game, and he scored over 30 points in each of the first three games. Thus, the stiff Boston defense has had as much trouble covering him as the rest of the NBA, and he is certainly capable of single-handedly keeping the Cavs in this game.
Now granted, the Celtics blew away the upstart Atlanta Hawks in all four home games in the first round, winning those contests by an average of +25.3 points. However the Cavaliers represent a step up in class and Cleveland definitely has a huge post-season experience edge over Atlanta, so they should not be intimidated by playing in this building. Remember also that Cleveland won two games on the road in the Washington series, including the decisive Game 6.
Look for the Cavaliers to hang within single-digits to the very end here.
Pick: Cavaliers +9.5
Los Angeles Dodgers -125
The Los Angeles Dodgers are the hottest team in baseball, having won nine of their last 10 games after beating these New York Mets 5-1 here last night, and they also fall into our Bullpen System.
Dodgers starter Hiroki Kuroda has done well in his first season in the Major Leagues, posting a 3.82 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and four Quality Starts in six starts while allowing more than three earned runs just once. He has also been stretched out to the points where he went a career high seven innings at Florida in his last outing, allowing only three runs and five hits. He should be doubly tough facing the Mets for the first time ever. If he is in need of relief however, he has the support of a Dodger bullpen that ranks sixth in the Majors with a collective 2.99 ERA.
Mets starter Nelson Figueroa has been mediocre in his fist year in the Big Leagues since 2004, posting a modest 4.08 ERA and a shaky 1.43 WHIP. He had been plagued by wildness, issuing 15 walks in 28.2 innings, and as a result he has failed to last six innings in his last two starts. Thus the Mets middle relief may be called on early tonight, which is almost always an adventure.
Finally, the offensive numbers also favor Los Angeles here, as they are batting a good .283 as a team while New York is struggling along with a .246 team batting average.
Pick: Dodgers -125
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
TOP RATED HOME RUN BASEBALL WINNER Atlanta w/Jurrjens -145
ANOTHER HUGE NBA SLAM DUNK WINNER Boston -9.5 8:05 EST
Doc’s Sports
Phillies (RL) @ Diamondbacks (RL) PICK: Phillies (RL)
REASON FOR PICK: The Snakes have one of the best pitching rotations in the league, but unfortunately Randy Johnson is a setback more then a strength. Johnson continues to believe that he can blow it right by hitters and thus usually gives up a ton of homers. He has allowed 11 earned runs in his last three starts and with a strong Philly line-up awaiting, you can bet that the ball will be leaving the yard a lot. This will be a high scoring contest and we will side with the pointspread giving us yet another free play victory.
Oscarxena Sports
Boston -10 +1.02 (3 Unit Play) I am making this play on the Celtics here tonight because quite honestly the line appears to be high after the way that the Celtics played against Atlanta last series. I think Boston learned there lesson by taking teams lightly and are now facing the team that represented the Eastern Conference last year in the NBA Finals. The Celtics big three were well rested last game as they completely demolished Atlanta on Sunday so fatigue should not be a factor for this game. During the regular season the underdog covered every game in this series but this is the playoffs and Boston should be rocking this evening. I’m not sure James has the supporting cast necessary to win this series and Boston will want to take full advantage this evening. Boston was 57-31 ATS this year and are used to covering large spreads and I think they will get the job done this evening. Take the Celtics tonight.
Florida -1.03 (3 Unit Play) This game dropped almost 20 cents since yesterday and I will gladly make a play on the Marlins here tonight. Olsen for the Marlins had his problems last year but he has been pitching extremely well thus far this year as he has posted a 2.70 ERA in 40 innings pitched and has a 1.12 WHIP in those outings. He has had some problem with the walk so far this year but he has shown some maturity that he has not shown in the past this year. Meanwhile the Brewers own one of the worst bullpens and have Suppan on the mound today and all he has done in his road starts this year is post a 7.84 ERA in 20 2/3 innings and has a very high WHIP of 1.69. The pitching discrepancy between these two pitchers has me making a play on the Marlins here tonight.
Cincinnati +1.02 (3 Unit Play) The Reds were able to win yesterday and break their losing streak and now have their best starter on the mound tonight in Aaron Harang. He has been outstanding so far this year at home as he has posted a 2.14 ERA in 21 innings pitched allowing only 13 hits and he has struck out 20 batters while walking only 5 compiling a 0.86 WHIP. For the Cubs they also have their best starter on the hill tonight in Zambrano but Big Z is not as good so far this year on the road compared to what he has done in Wrigley Field. Zambrano has a 3.46 ERA on the road in 13 innings of work and has a 1.46 WHIP on the road so far this year. The Cubs are struggling a little bit right now scoring runs as Ramirez has been out of the lineup for three games straight and Harang will make it tough on them tonight. Harang has went 2-0 in two starts with Chuck Meriweather behind home plate umpiring while Zambrano has went 0-2 in his two career starts with Meriweather. The home team has went 4-2 so far this year with Meriweather behind the plate and I will take the Reds again at home here.
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Vernon Croy
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Play: Toronto Blue Jays
1 Unit, Take Toronto ML, The Jays have one of the best pitching staffs in all of MLB right now and I look for A.J. Burnett (3-2, 4.82 ERA) to have another solid start after allowing just 3 hits against a potent Red Sox line-up in his last outing. Burnett has averaged 7.5 innings per start over his last 2 starts and he has dominated this Tampa Bay team over his career with a 6-2 record and an ERA of just 2.95. The Jays opponents are hitting just .157 against them over their last 7 games before coming into last nights game and the Rays are hitting just .232 as a team over their last 7 games. The Jays have won 5 straight games with their pitching and I look for their bats to finally come alive tonight against Andy Sonnanstine (4-1, 4.42 ERA) who is 1-1 against the Jays with an ERA of 6.12. The Jays are 22-10 in their last 32 home games when the posted total is 8 to 8.5 and the Rays are just 13-31 in their last 44 games as a road dog of +125 to +150. Take the Jays to make it 6 in a row tonight as my MLB Free play for Tuesday night. Make sure you get on my MLB Bookie Buster of the Night for Tuesday.