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Play Of The Day Thread – Back to normal 7/15
TSB Scott (Administrator) about 1 month ago | 12 responses    

MLB and PGA going today. Good read on the home page for those of you waking up early to watch some golf! Good luck, and see ya in the AM

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BRITISH OPEN PREVIEW
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Franchise, Intro and Thoughts on the 2nd half of MLB.
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Play Of The Day Thread – Friday 7/16
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Franchise Finest 7/16, Plays are loaded
Franchise Finest 7/16, Plays are loaded
TSB MIKE

WAKE UP!

 
jizzle24

oh yeah WAKE UP!!!!!!!!!!!

 
MC PICKS

Milwaukee +150
New York (NL) +155

 
TSB Scott

How about Daly at -6? EARLY play had some huge benefits today at the Open….

 
Crotch

We’re back! Only like one play today. One straight wager and one dog parlay this evening.

MLB
Brewers/Braves over 8.5

Dog Parlay
Phillies+110
Mets+147
Dodgers+110

For some reason I like the over in the SF/Mets game as well but staying off of it.

Good luck on the golf. I’ve played golf wagers as much as soccer in my career. About 10 total times.

 
Bobm

I like your thoughts on MIl game CR,

I had an OK 1st H but where i lost consistently was with OVERS, if anything was consistent in 1st H of season was relief pitching, even when teams looked like they were opening games up, the scoring seemed to dry up fairly consistently with all teams, As pointed out in Franchise’s writeup(BTW welcome aboard and look forward to you pix and thoughts) White Sox putting together a nice run, still it is AL Central…

Texas and cincinnati , leading their respective divisions, coming off horrible Series’. Boston to make a run need a better effort from their starters if they are going to weather the injuries, however Ortiz is on fire right now.

 
TSB Scott

Crotch,

Soccer is difficult to win money on. Golf is not. Biggest bet I ever won online was golf bets. You should take a second look.. The reason why golf bets can be had online is because places like bodog put out their lines early. For instance – they put out Tiger’s total birdies last night at 3.5. Well – tiger tee’d off well after many on the course including Rory and JD. Both tearing up the coarse, and that bet was still on the board to take. Those are spots where it is almost a gift, especially at +125. It helps eliminate the “guessing” out of what is gonna happen. I would say in spots like that, when Mike is literally doing the spot on research, he probably can hit 65% on those specific wagers, killing the books.

Just my thoughts on it!

 
Crotch

I probably should. I have played top 10 finishers before and won. At pretty good odds. I dont know why I only play the conventional sports. I think a lot of it has to do with being able to watch what I bet on. I like that. And being a tee time of about 4 a.m. didnt help.

 
FRANCHISE

Thanks Bob. I’m going to have today’s plays out in a little bit. Don’t want to over step my bounds. Is it cool to put those in here as well?

 
TSB Scott

You can always post your own plays on this board Franchise – no worries at all. If you want – you can also post your own plays in your own personal thread on the home page as well. Either one, or both is cool!

 
Crotch

Baseball’s Best and Worst Bets From the First Half
By SCOTT COOLEY

At the midway point of the 2010 MLB campaign, there are some major surprises. Teams such as the Reds and Padres, labeled as longshots to start the year, are leading their respective divisions. Expected contenders like the Cubs and Brewers are south of .500.

We’re looking at the best and worst wagering hits from the first half of the MLB season.

Best Bet

San Diego Padres (+17.48 units)

Nobody gave the Friars a chance to do anything but finish at the bottom of the NL West this year. San Diego was slapped with 200/1 odds to win the World Series before the season kicked off and now that ratio has shrunk to 28/1.

It’s a good thing the Padres lead the league in pitching because their offense has not aided in this profitable 2010 season. San Diego ranks in the bottom third of baseball in runs scored and 25th in batting average (.250).

But the staff’s 3.25 ERA is the best in the bigs and the team’s 12 shutouts are good for the second-best mark. Pads hurlers boast the top WHIP rate at 1.23 and hold opponents to league-lows in average (.238) as well as on-base (.303) and slugging (.363) percentages.

Another winning component for San Diego has been a sound defensive effort. The Pads have committed the second-fewest errors in the league with 33.

Slugger Adrian Gonzalez is clearly not going anywhere and the Padres should be looking to land another bat before the trade deadline. Of the 88 games played this season, San Diego has only been favored in 33. This squad should continue to be undervalued by oddsmakers and as long as the pitching doesn’t falter, it will continue to turn a profit.

Worst Bet

Chicago Cubs (-21.90 units)

The Cubbies truly are a cursed team. The 2010 season for Chicago has been tainted by a dysfunctional clubhouse. Carlos Zambrano struggled, was demoted to the bullpen, returned to the starting rotation and then went Ron Artest on his teammates. Aramis Ramirez has been accused of quitting on the team. In short, Sweet Lou Piniella has had nothing sweet to sing about this year.

The heart of the Cubs problems comes from an offensive disappearing act. The team as a whole ranks 26th in runs scored and its .241 average with runners in scoring position is the second-worst mark in the Senior Circuit. Marlon Byrd is the only member of the team hitting over .300 while Chicago’s No. 3 and 4 hitters, Derrek Lee and Ramirez, have combined for a dismal .217 average, 19 home runs and 67 RBIs.

The third-highest MLB error total (69) has not made things any easier for the Cubs. The team is just 11-20 in one-run ballgames this year and costly fielding mistakes have contributed to that porous record.

Chicago was a 14/1 favorite to win the Fall Classic before the season started; it now holds odds of 150/1.

The Cubs are adored by the public which means they receive a lot of casual bettors’ money and the oddsmakers know it. Chicago has been listed as the underdog in only 30 of its 89 games. The North Siders finished last year 15.55 units in the red and they won’t end 2010 far off that number.

Best Over

Arizona Diamondbacks (53-34-2)

Take the worst team ERA in baseball (5.27) and combine that with the free-swinging lineup of the Diamondbacks and you’ve got the best over club in the big leagues.

Arizona has scored more than 400 runs this season and connected on 100 long balls. Arizona pitchers are allowing opposing teams to hit .281 against them and have yielded a league-high 117 home runs.

The Diamondbacks’ ace, Dan Haren, carries a bloated 4.36 ERA and the over/under record in his starts this season is 14-5. Chad Qualls and the back end of Arizona’s bullpen have been in shambles all season with 14 blown saves – the most in MLB. Opponents average more than a half run per inning against D-Backs’ pitching.

Arizona’s Chase Field produces the most runs per game in the majors at 10.8 and teams have played to the over in 29 of the 46 games played at the ballpark.

Best Under

St. Louis Cardinals (34-52-2)

A three-headed monster at the top of the rotation consisting of Chris Carpenter, Adam Wainwright and Jaime Garcia is the primary reason St. Louis has been such a profitable under wager. That trio holds a combined ERA of 2.52 and Garcia has a ridiculous 3-14 over/under mark in 17 starts as a rookie.

Yadier Molina is one of the best defensive backstops in baseball year in and year out. Molina and his pitching counterparts have kept opposing runners honest by allowing a league-low 26 steals this season. Unders become more common when a catcher can keep ducks off the pond.

The Red Birds finished last season with a 68-86-8 over/under record and oddsmakers failed to adjust the numbers during the first half of 2010.

 
FRANCHISE

Ok guys going with 2 dogs today.
Texas +105
Dodgers +115

 

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