TopSportsBets.com Play Of The Day Thread
Play Of The Day Thread – Monday 7/12
TSB Scott (Administrator) about 1 month ago | 13 responses    

Hoping for home run Derby #3 in a row. Early lean is Matt holiday. We’ll see, all luck anyway

Scott had asked for some football talk and I was actually going through season win/loss totals. I see a few I like, but some are sitting on the half at -165, where I would rather take another half game or full game and lower the juice. So I’m going to wait.

On a side note, I did just place what is now my 4th wager on the Packers pick em vs the Eagles for opening week. Of course I did.

And my apologies to Need a New One for the Corey Hart comment yesterday. I did not realize you bet them. I was just watching the game and posted from my phone. I am not the kind of dude to rub shit in peoples faces, especially after a loss. I was actually reading some interesting things about the series as you all know I play every single Brewer Pirate game, and have the last year plus. The Brewers are now winners of 25 of their last 27 at home vs them. WOW! The Pirates are not much better vs them at home either over the last 2+ seasons. Another thing was that Ryan Doumit has 8 HR’s this year. 3 of his 8 have come in the 9th inning, at Miller Park. Kinda weird.

Good luck today. I’ll still be around if anyone else is. Hopefully Gaydog will have some in running props/matchups of the Derby. More importantly I hope my picks win.

MLB HR DERBY

Bodog.com

Odds to Win
Matt Holliday 9/2 Big
Corey Hart 5/1 Small

Least HR’s in Round 1
Vernon Wells 9/2 Small

Round 1 VS
Matt Holliday+155 vs Miguel Cabrera Big
Corey Hart+155 vs Miguel Cabrera Medium

I’m actually upset that it is the break. Things actually starting to turn around. Most notably since I stopped playing too many plays daily. I’m OK playing more games in NBA or NCAAB, but not so much in baseball. Strictly for juice, although I have played more dogs this year than ever, at a better success rate as well.

There is a clown at another website that first of all is a liar because he plays anywhere from 6 to 16 games a day at what he says is $1000 a game. And on top of that his plays have been documented for the last 2 years and he is down a terrible amount. He is sticking to his guns though. He swears that mass plays is the way to go. I’ve never seen it be successful, and never in baseball especially.

We have been trying to tell him this for years, and it has been getting ugly there. (Mostly from my taunting of him for being a complete idiot) Has anyone ever heard of this being a successful move? I would guess no. He uses the cop out of “spreading of risk”. The guys is a complete clown.

So Mike if you are around I would love to get your take from someone in the gambling community on the odds of this actually working in the bettors favor. I already know the answer, I think. But would love to get a thought on it or if you have any stats to back it up, etc. I won’t use any names but would love to have more ammo for me to bust on this idiot with.

Any old school CBS guys probably know who I am talking about.

Here are the NFL W/L Over Unders I like:

Cards Under 7.5 -115
49ers Under 8.5 +105
Skins Over 7.5 Even

Lean
Cowboys under 10 -105

And the one I was talking of earlier
Packers over 9.5 -155
*Just put it at 10 and drop it to -110

Apparently you are alone today Crotch! Just got here this morning. Looking over the card now

No biggie man. Its Monday. I am not planning on getting a ton done today.

No JZ even?

No drama about Corey Hart. I hit 2 out of three, and if you give me a team +180 with a one run lead going to the ninth I’ll make the bet every time.

I feel ya there.

Apparently not Crotch! Really nothing going. No NBA news, nothin. I am not a big fan of props for the all star game, but you have nailed that HR contest. May tail ya there.

THats my plan as well. Tailing crotch on crazy prop bets has been money over the last few years.

Garbage pick. Sorry dudes.