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Pick ‘n’ Roll: Today’s best NBA bets

Memphis Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls

Can Derrick Rose get a little help please? The second-year guard is averaging 25.8 points over the last five games but Chicago is just 2-3 straight up and against the spread over the same stretch.

Starting center Joakim Noah is out indefinitely and Kirk Hinrich is basically an empty body on the floor.

Meanwhile Luol Deng is banged up and Brad Miller is showing that he can’t play effectively if he gets more than 30 minutes a night.

’’Luol, I expect to play on Thursday,’’ Bulls coach Vinny Del Negro told the Chicago Sun-Times. ’’It’s just his knee was really stiff, and it swelled up a little more. He’ll be examined [today], and hopefully with a couple of days before the next game - the first time we’ve had that in a while – we’ll get him some rest and get that swelling out of there.’‘

Even if Deng plays, the Bulls will be fighting a losing battle on the boards without Noah. Chicago was outrebounded 63-37 against Atlanta on Monday.

“If some team wins a game giving up that big a difference, I’d like to know about it,’’ Miller said after the game.

Don’t expect the Bulls’ recent problems to dissolve just because they’ve had a few days off.

Pick: Memphis
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Ice picks: Today’s best NHL bets

Montreal Canadiens at San Jose Sharks (-230, 5.5)

With trade rumors abundant in Montreal this week, the club is silencing those whispers by announcing its plan to hang on to both goaltenders, Carey Price and Jaroslav Halak, for the remainder of the season.

The Canadiens are hoping their two-pronged attack between the pipes will prove valuable during the helter-skelter postseason schedule.

Price locked up his job following a 4-1 win in Boston Tuesday, stopping 23-of-24 shots on goal. He allowed a power-play goal midway through the first period but kept his team in the game with big saves in the final two frames.

“He played a strong game, especially after we had some breakdowns in the first and second periods. We gave some odd-man rushes and he was there to close the door,” said head coach Jacques Martin.

That win kicked off a four-game road trip that heads to San Jose on Thursday then closes with dates in Los Angeles and Anaheim. Montreal is a solid under play on the road this season, posting a 12-17-3 over/under mark in opposing barns.

Pick: Under

Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes (-110, 5.5)

The Senators are crossing their fingers that the Olympic break didn’t put an end to their winning ways.

Before the two-week hiatus, Ottawa was one of the best teams in the NHL. It won 14 of the 16 games heading into the break but came back from vacation rustier than the garden gate. The Senators dropped a 4-1 loss to the New York Rangers Tuesday night, giving up all four goals in the second period.

“That’s not how we wanted to start coming out of the break,” forward Jason Spezza told the Toronto Sun. “We didn’t have good coverage in our end, we gave them some easy goals. We left Ells out to dry.”

Ottawa is hoping a trip to face the lowly Hurricanes can get them back on the right track. However, Carolina is no push over. It’s won six straight games and eight of its last 10 outings heading into Thursday.

The Canes stayed hot following the break with a 5-1 win over Toronto Tuesday. That marked the sixth game in the past 10 that the Hurricanes have allowed two or less goals against.

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Dunkel

Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Memphis at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 115.752; Chicago 124.431
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: LA Lakers at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 124.657; Miami 119.231
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-4 1/2); Over

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Dunkel

Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 507-508: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 50.977; Eastern Michigan 58.733
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 8
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-4 1/2)

Game 509-510: Ball State at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 49.070; Western Michigan 55.229
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 5
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 9
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+9)

Game 511-512: Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 54.937; Miami (OH) 57.176
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 2
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 4
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4)

Game 513-514: Bowling Green at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 53.381; Ohio 59.748
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 8
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+8)

Game 515-516: Seton Hall at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 64.421; Rutgers 57.901
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 4
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-4)

Game 517-518: Dayton at Richmond
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 64.629; Richmond 69.089
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 3
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-3)

Game 519-520: Toledo at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 40.600; Northern Illinois 49.225
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+11 1/2)

Game 521-522: Providence at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 62.500; Pittsburgh 72.575
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 11
Dunkel Pick: Providence (+11)

Game 523-524: UCLA at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 61.844; Arizona 65.932
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4
Vegas Line: Arizona by 5
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+5)

Game 525-526: Hawaii at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 45.875; Boise State 59.557
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10)

Game 527-528: LSU at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 56.828; Mississippi 67.702
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 11
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+12 1/2)

Game 529-530: USC at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: USC 59.666; Arizona State 69.578
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 10
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-7 1/2)

Game 531-532: Washington State at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 61.150; Oregon State 64.989
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 4
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-3)

Game 533-534: New Mexico State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 58.012; Nevada 64.018
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 6
Vegas Line: Nevada by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+6 1/2)

Game 535-536: LouiSIAna Tech at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: LouiSIAna Tech 59.682; Fresno State 53.345
Dunkel Line: LouiSIAna Tech by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: LouiSIAna Tech

Game 537-538: UC Davis at CS Northridge
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 47.142; CS-Northridge 53.601
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 5
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (-5)

Game 539-540: San Jose State at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 54.979; Idaho 64.661
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Idaho by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-5 1/2)

Game 541-542: Washington at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 68.288; Oregon 63.758
Dunkel Line: Washington by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+5 1/2)

Game 543-544: Pacific at CS-Fullerton
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 57.424; CS-Fullerton 52.071
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-2 1/2)

Game 545-546: Southern Illinois vs. Drake
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 58.413; Drake 54.887
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 4
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+4)

Game 547-548: Evansville vs. Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 52.875; Missouri State 59.304
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+9 1/2)

Game 549-550: Penn State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 59.718; Michigan State 75.029
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-13)

Game 551-552: East Tennessee State vs. Campbell
Dunkel Ratings: East Tennessee State 49.458; Campbell 54.084
Dunkel Line: Campbell by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 553-554: Belmont vs. Mercer
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 55.520; Mercer 48.491
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 555-556: Winthrop vs. Radford
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 45.520; Radford 50.392
Dunkel Line: Radford by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 557-558: NC Asheville at Coastal Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: NC Asheville 45.806; Coastal Carolina 53.121
Dunkel Line: Coastal Carolina by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 559-560: Monmouth at Quinnipiac
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 39.833; Quinnipiac 54.098
Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 561-562: Central Connecticut at Robert Morris
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut 44.368; Robert Morris 54.212
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 563-564: St. Francis (PA) at Mt. St. Mary’s
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 45.382; Mt. St. Mary’s 58.790
Dunkel Line: Mt. St. Mary’s by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Dunkel

Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: NY Islanders at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.299; Atlanta 12.402
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Over

Game 3-4: Pittsburgh at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.851; NY Rangers 11.279
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 5-6: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.391; Boston 10.643
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+165); Under

Game 7-8: Tampa Bay at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.353; Washington 13.137
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 3; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-290); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-290); Over

Game 9-10: Ottawa at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.855; Carolina 11.208
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-110); Over

Game 11-12: Los Angeles at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 13.007; Nashville 10.929
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+105); Over

Game 13-14: St. Louis at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.445; Dallas 11.134
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Under

Game 15-16: Colorado at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.118; Phoenix 10.816
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 17-18: Montreal at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.589; San Jose 11.311
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose
Dunkel Pick: San Jose and Over
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SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, MARCH 4

NBA

L.A. Lakers (46-15, 26-32-3 ATS) at Miami (30-31, 29-32 ATS)

The Lakers open a three-game East Coast trip with a stop inside the American Airlines Arena for a matchup against the Heat.
Los Angeles has won three straight (1-1-1 ATS) overall, including Tuesday’s 122-99 rout of Indiana, cashing as an 11½-point home chalk. The Lakers got 24 points and six assists from Kobe Bryant, while Pau Gasol added 14 points and pulled down 16 boards. The Lakers are 17-10 on the highway this season, but only 11-15-1 ATS away from home. They snapped an 0-5-1 ATS slump with Tuesday’s blowout of the Pacers.
A 110-106 home win over Golden State on Tuesday snapped Miami’s four-game losing streak, but it came up well short as a 10½-point favorite, dropping to 1-4 ATS in its last five games. Dwyane Wade poured in 35 points and dished out 12 assists to lead the way as the Heat erupted offensively after averaging just 82.3 ppg in their previous four contests.
The home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this series, including the Lakers’ last-second 108-107 victory on Dec. 4, falling well short as a 12½-point home favorite. Miami has cashed in five of the last seven – including the last three in a row – all as an underdog.
Los Angeles is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 Thursday games and 7-2 ATS in its last nine against a team with a losing record, but it is on ATS slides of 1-5-1 overall, 1-4-1 as a favorite, 1-3-1 against Eastern Conference teams and 1-5-1 as a road chalk of less than five points. The Heat have cashed in four of five as an underdog and 10 of 14 against Pacific Division teams, but they are on ATS skids of 1-5 at home, 1-5 on Thursday and 9-23 at home against teams with a winning road record.
The Lakers are on a plethora of “under” runs, including 8-2 overall, 6-1 on the road, 7-1 as a favorite, 5-0 as a road chalk, 21-7 on Thursday and 20-8-1 after a spread-cover. Miami has also been on several “under” streaks, including 25-10-1 overall, 19-7-1 on Thursday, 7-1 at home, 42-20 after a straight-up win and 5-1-1 as an underdog. In this series, the “under” has been the play in seven of the last 10 meetings overall and five straight in South Beach.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

Utah (38-22, 36-21-3 ATS) at Phoenix (39-24, 37-26 ATS)

The red-hot Suns look for their seventh win in their last eight games when they welcome the Jazz to the US Airways Center for a key Western Conference matchup.
Utah has alternated wins and losses in its last six (3-3 ATS), including a 108-104 loss to the Clippers in Los Angeles on Monday, failing as a 6½-point favorite. The Jazz were outrebounded by Los Angeles and shot just 38-for-89 from the field for 42.7 percent. They have now dropped two straight on the highway after rattling off seven consecutive road wins (SU and ATS).
The Suns scored a 127-101 victory over the Clippers in Los Angeles on Wednesday, easily cashing as a 4½-point favorite. Amare Stoudemire led the way for Phoenix with 30 points and 14 rebounds as his team cashed for the eighth straight game, and sixth straight as a favorite. The Suns have won five straight in front of the home fans, cashing in each contest.
The home team has won five straight in this rivalry, with Utah scoring a 124-115 win in Salt Lake City back on Jan. 25, cashing as a seven-point favorite. The Jazz have cashed in six of the last eight series clashes and is the last road team to score a win in this matchup, winning 126-118 back in March 2008 as a 5½-point pup. In fact, Utah is 7-1 ATS in its last eight trips to the Arizona desert.
Utah is on several positive ATS streaks, including 34-15-3 overall, 10-2-1 on the road, 14-4-2 against Western Conference teams, 9-1-1 on Thursdays and 5-0-1 as an underdog. Phoenix is just 6-20 ATS in its last 26 Thursday contests, but otherwise is on several positive pointspread runs, including 14-3 overall, 5-0 at home, 6-0 against Western Conference teams, 6-0 as a favorite and 8-1 against teams with a winning percentage higher than .600.
The Jazz have topped the total in five straight overall, 28 of 41 as a road ‘dog, 34 of 51 as an underdog regardless of venue and five of six against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Suns are on several “under” runs, including 10-4 overall, 6-2 as a favorite, 4-0 on the second night of a back-to-back and 5-1 at home. In this rivalry, the “over” has been the play in five of the last six overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHOENIX and OVER

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Dayton (19-9, 13-12 ATS) at Richmond (22-7, 16-9 ATS)

Richmond tries to bounce back from its first loss in more than a month when it welcomes the Flyers to the Robins Center for an Atlantic 10 clash.
Dayton snapped a two-game slide in emphatic fashion Saturday, hammering UMass 96-68 as a 15-point home favorite, its most lopsided victory of the season. The Flyers, who also halted a four-game ATS drought by crushing UMass, have split their last 16 games, all within the A-10. However, they’re 1-5 on the road during this stretch (2-4 ATS), including 0-3 SU and ATS in the last three.
The Spiders took an eight-game winning streak (7-1 ATS) to Xavier on Sunday and suffered a heartbreaking 78-76 double-overtime defeat, but they easily covered as a 7½-point road underdog. Richmond has won 13 of 14 home games (6-5 ATS), and since a 12-point home loss to Charlotte on Jan. 20, the Spiders have won four in a row at home (3-1 ATS) by an average of 18.8 ppg. For the season, they outscore visitors by 14.5 ppg (72.6-58.1).
Richmond crushed Dayton 83-63 as a 4½-point home underdog last year, but the Flyers got revenge twice thereafter with a 69-63 home victory as a 9½-point favorite and a 69-64 win as a 4½-point chalk in the Atlantic-10 tournament. The home team has won each of the last seven regular-season clashes (4-3 ATS). The underdog has gotten the money eight times in the last 10 meetings.
In addition to failing to cover in four of its last five overall and four of its last five on the road, Dayton is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Spiders have come up short in five of their last seven on Thursday, but otherwise they’re on ATS hot streaks of 8-1 overall (all in conference), 23-7-1 after a SU loss, 6-1 following a spread-cover and 5-1 against winning teams.
These teams have topped the total in each of their last five series meetings, and the over is 4-0 in Richmond’s last four against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: RICHMOND and OVER

USC (16-12, 11-14-2 ATS) at Arizona State (20-9, 11-14 ATS)

Arizona State hopes to bolster its sagging Big Dance resume when it welcomes the slumping Trojans to Wells Fargo Arena in Tempe, Ariz., as the final weekend of Pac-10 regular-season play tips off.
USC has dropped three in a row SU and ATS, and the offense is to blame, as the Trojans managed just 47, 44 and 44 points in the three defeats. Last weekend, they hosted Oregon and Oregon State and lost both games as a huge favorite, falling 55-44 to the Ducks as a 10½-point chalk and 49-44 to the Beavers as an eight-point choice. The three-game slide follows a four-game winning streak for USC, which is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine outings.
The Trojans conclude their season tonight and Saturday at Arizona, as they’re ineligible for postseason play – including the Pac-10 tournament – because of school-imposed sanctions.
The Sun Devils’ four-game winning streak ended with Saturday’s ugly 62-46 loss at Cal, falling way short as a seven-point road underdog. Arizona State actually took a 30-29 halftime lead then got outscored 33-16 in the final 20 minutes. The Sun Devils have still won six of their last eight overall and they’re 14-3 at Wells Fargo Arena this season, averaging 70.3 ppg and allowing 54.8 on their home floor. Despite that, they’re just 5-8 ATS in lined home games (1-4 ATS last five), and they’ve failed to cover in six of their last 10 overall.
USC crushed the Sun Devils 47-37 as a 2½-point home favorite back on Jan. 2 in the second conference game for both squads. The Trojans are 4-1 SU in the last five series meetings and 3-1 ATS in the last four. The home team has taken the last seven regular-season battles (6-1 ATS), but the underdog has covered in 12 of the last 16.
The Trojans’ 1-5 ATS slump overall is offset by positive pointspread runs of 39-18-1 after a non-cover and 8-3 versus winning teams. Meanwhile, Arizona State has cashed in 18 of its last 26 after a non-cover, but is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 home games after three or more consecutive road contests.
The low-scoring Trojans are on “under” runs of 18-7-1 overall, 6-0-1 on the road, 12-3-1 in Pac-10 action, 4-0 on Thursday, 4-0 after a SU defeat, 5-1 after a non-cover and 4-1 against winning teams. Similarly, ASU carries “under” trends of 5-1 overall (all in conference), 11-3 at home and 4-1 against winning teams. Finally, four of the last five meetings between these rivals have stayed low, though the over is 5-2 in the last seven clashes in Tempe.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
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Jeff Hochman’s GOY.
19-0 run.
Play Title Big Play Alert Top-rated 10* NCAAB Game of Month
Play Selected Point Spread: -3
10* Mortgage your House Game of the Year= Richmond -3

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