TopSportsBets.com Play Of The Day Thread
Play Of The Day Thread- Thursday 3/4
TSB Scott (Administrator) 5 months ago | 24 responses    

Wake Up!!!!!!!

Well those line did look odd and indeed they were both winners:

NY/Detroit over 206
Okla City/Denver over 208

Didn’t play them but wanted to pull the trigger!!

Oh well-lets get this shit SWEPT under the rug today and head into the weekend on a run!!!

The Five Worst NBA Visiting Teams

Below are the five worst road teams in the NBA, determined by the difference between their winning percentage at home and on the highway.

Charlotte Bobcats

Charlotte may live up to its Bobcats moniker at home, but Larry Brown’s squad is a bunch of pussycats on the road.

The Bobbies have the strongest home/road dichotomy in the NBA this season. Charlotte is winning at a .714 clip on its home court, but its .267 winning percentage away from Bobcats Arena has the ‘Cats clawing for their playoff lives.

Bad starts and turnovers have been a major culprit in Charlotte’s road woes. The team has been outscored by nearly four points per game in first quarters on the road and the Bobcats average more than 15 turnovers a game on the highway.

“We’re not aggressive, and we don’t take care of the ball (on the road),” Brown said after a recent loss in Atlanta, when Charlotte’s 17 turnovers resulted in 29 Hawks points.

Oddsmakers have done a good job compensating for the Bobcats’ ineptitude away from home. Charlotte’s record against the spread is nearly identical on the road (16-14) as it is at home (15-13).

Los Angeles Clippers

When the Clippers leave the friendly confines of the Staples Center, they leave their defense at home as well.

L.A. gets beat up by opposing offenses on the road. The Clippers allow 103.9 points per game on the road, 7.5 points per game more than they allow on their home court.

L.A. has paid for its defensive deficiencies. The Clippers own a .233 winning percentage on the road, a far cry from their .666 success rate at home, and have lost nine of their last 10 road contests.

The Clippers are 12-18 ATS this season on the road, where the over has cashed 18-of-30 times.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets fly high in the mile-high altitude of Denver, but things get rocky when they descend from the mountains.

Denver is the lone division leader with a losing record on the road, where it owns a .467 winning percentage. The Nuggets are an .833 club at the Pepsi Center.

The Nuggets’ scoring drops off considerably in opposing arenas. Averaging 111.7 points per game at home, Denver manages only 102.4 points per contest on the road. The Nuggets failed to even reach 90 points in their last two road games – losses at the Los Angeles Lakers and Phoenix Suns.

Denver has gone under the total in 18-of-30 games on the road.

Toronto Raptors

Toronto’s defense, not exactly stellar in the first place, gets even worse when the team leaves the Great White North.

The Raptors allow a whopping 109.2 points a game on the road, nearly eight more points than their average allowance at the Air Canada Centre.

The leaky D has the Raptors, one of the better home teams in the league with a .700 winning percentage, playing .344 ball on the road.

Toronto has held teams under 100 points only three times in its last 17 road games – the Nets, Pistons and Bulls – squads hardly known for their offensive firepower. Not surprisingly, the over has cashed at an 18-10-1 clip when the Raptors are away from home.

Sacramento Kings

Not that the Kings are a force at Arco Arena, but they’re purely dismal on the road.

Sacramento, owner of a respectable .517 winning percentage at home, has won only five games at other venues (a .161 winning percentage).

Since Kobe Bryant drained a buzzer-beater to beat the Kings 109-108 on Jan. 1 in L.A., Sacramento has lost 14-of-16 on the road. The Kings average 98.1 points a game away from Arco, six points less than they score at home.

Sacramento’s home/road dichotomy isn’t reflected in its ATS record or over/under results. The Kings are 14-14-1 ATS and 14-13-2 O/U at home, and 15-14-2 ATS and 15-16 O/U on the road.

35-13 Over/under record for NBA teams in the last 48 games played. Going into Wednesday night’s action, the over had gone 10-2 in the last 12 league games.

Okay I think I found another oddsmaker hint on the card today:

Lakers/Heat under 189

1st of all, I think this line opened about 6-7 points to low. Opened at 187.5 and now up to 189 in most books. Public will prob see this low number for a Laker total as automatically bet the over but look at the line?? Only one Laker total has been in the 180’s all season and it went under. The line and total has the feel of a slow tempo, grind out game. Heat play LA tough and with the bright lights of Miami and TNT, you to think Wade brings his A game. Especially after the Kobe buzzer beater in LA. LA has been playing tremendous D here with Ron Ron locking people up! The Heat are going to slow this game down and limit LA possessions as the Lakers had 10+ more possessions the 1st meeting.

With the combined scored getting to 215 in LA, for this line to open almost 30 pts lower than that combined total has me to believe that this is a slugfest with the game coming down to FT’s.

LA 93
Miami 90

Any time they put a number under 190 for a Laker game, it smells. I agree with that JZ

Somebody jumping the gun on the end of the week?

My early leans:

all 1st Half
richmond -2 vs Dayton
Miss -6 1/2 vs LSU
Miami OH -1 1/2 vs buffalo

Dammit. LOL. Apparently I get ahead of myself

Went 3-2 yesterday but lost my top play as Washington Wizards could not hit anything in garbage time to cover the 10.5, losing by 13, so ended up juiced. I hate losing when I am on a Bucks game as I feel I know them as well as anyone.

Today (all light plays)
NBA (a little of everything)(in order of strength)
Lakers-5
Lakers-2.5 1st half
Utah over 214
Memphis+5

No locks today
GL

Lakers under looks good to me too JZ>

yeah i suck, i know. I’ve heard it now since the game started yesterday. haha.

Heres a play now to move on from.

RUTGERS +4 Seton Hall (1 UNIT)

LA is +1.5 vs Fresno St tonight??

La Tech beat Fresno in Louisiana in Jan by 8 as 8.5 faves?

Does home court acct for a 10 pt line swing??

It’s been a tough stretch for everyone Mike. i wouldn’t worry about it.

MIAMI HEAT +5.5 Lakers (1 UNIT)

JZ, that Fresno St. game is sketchy as all hell.

I imagine J Gibson won’t be playing for La Tech and that’s why this line is what it is.

That being said, i think Fresno St. has quit on their season, as they were blown out by San Jose St and against Utah St. in their past 2 games.

I don’t like that game at all!

Let’s go CROTCH!

I need NBA playoffs, Tourney, and Baseball before I can get excited again.

LOL. Love the Heat play. I really think that if the Heat are gonna hang tough, it is gonna be very low scoring like JZ said. Yeah, line jumped 2 points from opening, but still oddly low

RICHMOND…i need not say more

Lakers I think have 1 win in their last 5 trips there and that was 06 the crap year where the next one they got a lottery pick.

Anyone hear Tysom Holyfield 3?

LOL – no. That would be terrible

THat would be the SHIT!!!

This Rutgers/S. Hall game is like watching street ball.

Unfortunately I can’t watch it. Gotta travel right now. Back later

RICHMONDDDDDDDDDD…half pt cover about time one went my way