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top dollar (GOLD MEMBER) about 1 year ago | 9 responses    

Beatyourbookie

100* Yankees

SPORTS ADVISORS

N.Y. Mets (39-39) at Philadelphia (39-37)

After a quick jaunt to Pittsburgh for a makeup game Thursday, the Mets send veteran righty Livan Hernandez (5-3, 4.04 ERA) to the mound in Philadelphia to face Phillies’ starter Rodrigo Lopez (0-0, 0.00), making his first start in the big leagues in almost two years.

New York scored a 10-inning, 9-8 victory over the Pirates on Thursday but burned seven pitchers when starter Tim Redding couldn’t get out of the third inning after giving up five runs on six hits. It was the second consecutive win for the Mets after losing five straight. They are on runs of 14-6 against the N.L. East and 15-6 in the first game of a series, but everything else is on the negative side of the slate, including 1-4 as an underdog, 3-7 as a road ‘dog and 1-5 against teams with winning records.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia was being swept in the finale of a three-game set in Atlanta on Thursday, falling 5-2, with a struggling offense that managed just seven runs in the three-game series. The Phillies have lost six of eight overall and 12 of 15. They are on further slides of 0-6 at home, 1-6 in series openers, 0-8 against right-handed starters and 5-16 at home against right-handers. In this rivalry, the Mets are 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Philly.

Hernandez is 3-1 on the road this season with a 4.47 ERA and he’s been solid for the Mets lately, holding the opposition to three runs or less in seven of his last eight starts. Sunday, he gave up three runs on three hits in seven innings at home to the Mets, but lost 4-2. He hasn’t faced the Phillies since 2006 when he was a starter for the Nationals, but for his career he is 10-8 with a 3.36 ERA in 24 career starts. With Hernandez on the hill, New York is 4-1 against the N.L. East but otherwise on slides of 0-4 as a road ‘dog, 0-4 overall and 1-5 on the road overall.

Lopez is being called up from Triple-A Lehigh Valley to make his first start since 2007. In 2006 he led the American League with 18 losses and he’s trying to make a comeback from elbow ligament replacement surgery in 2007. He is 65-65 with a 4.80 ERA in 187 games for the Padres, Orioles and Rockies. He was 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last three starts for Lehigh Valley.

The Mets have stayed below the total in four of Hernandez’s last five starts and 36 of their last 59 Friday games, but as a team they have topped the total in six of seven series openers and five of seven on the road against winning teams. Philadelphia is on “under” runs of 6-0 on Fridays, 8-3-2 in series openers and 11-5-1 as a home chalk. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is 5-2-1 in the last eight overall and 4-0-1 in the last five in the City of Brotherly Love.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

Toronto (42-38) at N.Y. Yankees (45-33)

After having their seven-game winning streak snapped Thursday the Yankees will send right-hander A.J. Burnett (6-4, 3.93 ERA) to the mound to try and get a new streak going against Blue Jays’ southpaw Brian Tallet (5-5, 4.47) at Yankee Stadium.

New York lost 8-4 in the series finale against the Mariners on Thursday after rattling off seven straight wins. The new stadium has been good to the Yankees, who have gone 17-8 in their last 25 at home. They are also on runs of 11-3 against left-handers, 46-23 as a favorite, 6-2 at home against teams with winning records and 5-1 in series openers.

Toronto was idle on Thursday but the Jays have struggled lately, going 1-4 overall, 3-11 against division foes and 1-4 against winning teams. New York took two of three in Toronto back in mid-May and has won four of the last six head-to-head meetings.

Tallet is 1-1 in his last three starts with a 2.65 ERA but he got roughed up against the Phillies on Sunday, allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits in six innings of a 5-4 home loss. He’s faced the Yankees back on May 14 and gave up two runs on four hits in six innings of a 3-2 loss in Toronto. With Tallet on the hill, the Blue Jays are 3-7 in his last 10 starts, 1-4 in his last five, 1-6 when he’s an underdog and 1-4 in series openers.

Burnett has been lights out in his last three, going 2-1 with a 0.44 ERA. He’s allowed two runs (one earned) in those three starts, including two shutout wins over the Mets and a 2-1 loss to the Marlins. He faced these Blue Jays on May 12 and allowed five runs on seven hits over 7 2/3 innings of a 5-1 loss in Canada. With Burnett on the hill, New York is 0-4 against the A.L. East, but 5-2 at home and 4-0 when he’s a favorite.

With Tallet throwing, the Blue Jays are on “under” streaks of 7-3 overall, 5-0 against A.L. East rivals, 4-0 on the road and 5-1 as an underdog. Along the same lines, with Burnett pitching, the Yankees are on “under” runs of 7-2-1 overall and 4-1 in series openers.

As a team, Toronto is on “under” streaks that include 20-8 against A.L. East squads, 11-5 on the road, 6-2 as a road ‘dog, 5-0-1 overall and 5-0-1 against teams with a winning record. The Yankees have stayed under the total in four of five against A.L. East teams, eight of seven Friday games and 15 of 24 home games against southpaws.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER

DUNKEL

Oakland at Cleveland
The A’s look to build on their 4-1 record in Trevor Cahill’s last 5 starts against a Cleveland team that is 0-6 in its last 6 games as a favorite. Oakland is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the A’s favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110).

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.392; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.605
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-170); N/A

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.343; Florida (Volstad) 14.992
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+145); Under

Game 905-906: Atlanta at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Kawakami) 15.703; Washington (Detwiler) 14.443
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Over

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 13.462; Philadelphia (Lopez) 15.090
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Under

Game 909-910: St. Louis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.082; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.588
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Over

Game 911-912: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Scherzer) 14.583; Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.017
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Under

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.451; San Diego (Gaudin) 13.929
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Over

Game 915-916: Houston at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Paulino) 15.143; San Francisco (Sadowski) 16.308
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Over

Game 917-918: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 15.394; NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.173
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Over

Game 919-920: Oakland at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 14.217; Cleveland (Huff) 13.037
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Under

Game 921-922: Seattle at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.602; Boston (Wakefield) 16.691
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Under

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.529; Texas (Hunter) 15.226
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.518; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.006
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Under

Game 927-928: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (French) 15.233; Minnesota (Slowey) 14.545
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+150); Over

Game 929-930: Baltimore at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hernandez) 15.721; LA Angels (Santana) 14.858
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over

WNBA

Chicago at San Antonio
The Sky look to take advantage of a San Antonio squad that is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games versus Eastern Conference teams. Chicago is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Silver Stars favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6).

Game 651-652: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.495; Atlanta 111.103
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 164
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Chicago at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 106.258; San Antonio 110.061
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 145 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6); Over

Free Sports Picks Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
288 – 188 run 60 % 36-18 run here 66.6%

FRI Braves

Hondo

July 3, 2009

Guthrie showed last night why he no longer has a stall in Hondo’s stable, losing to the Angels to lower the earnings to 80 pacioreks.

Tonight, it’s the Sox and Sawx—10 units apiece on Danks and Wakefield, that knucklehead.

WUNDERDOG

BELMONT PARK Race #2 at 1:30 PM Eastern

Top pick: #9 (MR. PETERSON) – Ran well sprinting on the turf May 31 chasing the fleet “Missile” who has since come back to win another. This gelding has been working sharply for the past month and it looks like graduation day for him.
2nd pick: #1 (Soonasigetpaid) – Scratched the other day to await this spot. He has some speed and has also employed a stalking gear in several of his races. Draws the rail and his trainer (Mike Maker) will find a winning spot for him more sooner than later.
3rd pick: #4 (Living For This) – Firster by “Freud” has been drilling steadily for trainer Dom Galluscio who wins at a 16% rate with debuting runners.
4th pick: #2 (Federal Deposit) – He’s finished second in six of his nine starts with all coming against tougher. Likes to race about mid-pack and try to make a rally, though he rarely makes up any real ground. Must be considered for the same race exotics

Wagerfund

BOS over SEA -123 5 UNITS PLAY OF THE DAY

vernon croy: chi cubs
rz sports: sandy padres
offshore sports: chi cubs

RON RAYMOND’S CFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!

Pick # 1 British Columbia Lions / Saskatchewan Roughriders Under 51.5 -110