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top dollar (GOLD MEMBER) 7 months ago | 6 responses    

SPORTS ADVISORS

San Francisco (42-34) at St. Louis (41-38)

The surging Giants will try to make it four in a row when they send Matt Cain (9-2, 2.57 ERA) to the mound at Busch Stadium to face the struggling Cardinals and right-hander Adam Wainwright (8-5, 3.51).

San Francisco has won the first two of this four-game set, including Tuesday’s 6-3 victory behind solid pitching from veteran lefty Randy Johnson and scoreless work from three relievers. The Giants have won five of their last seven, all on the road, and eight of their last 11 overall. Meanwhile the Cardinals have dropped six of their last seven and four of five on this homestand.

San Francisco is 6-1 in its last seven matchups with the Cardinals and 6-2 in the last eight played at Busch Stadium. Even with the first two wins in this series, the Giants are just 14-28 against N.L. Central teams and 29-57 on the road against teams with winning records. St. Louis is on several slides that include 0-6 against the N.L. West, 0-4 as a favorite and 2-6 against teams with winning records.

Cain has been superb on the highway this season, posting a 4-1 mark and 2.72 ERA. He did get roughed up on Friday, giving up five runs on six hits in seven innings of a 5-1 loss in Milwaukee, only the second time in his last eight starts he’s allowed more than one earned run in a game. Cain faced these Cardinals on May 29 and held them to two runs (one earned) in 6 1/3 innings of a 4-2 victory. With Cain on the hill, the Giants are on slides of 8-20 as a road ‘dog and 3-18 on the road against teams with a winning record, but they are on runs of 4-1 on the road this season and 4-1 against teams with a winning mark.

Wainwright is 3-4 at Busch Stadium this season with a 2.55 ERA and was solid in his Friday outing, giving up three runs (two earned) over seven innings of a 3-1 home loss to the Twins. He pitched in San Francisco on May 31 and gave up four runs on 10 hits in seven innings of a 5-3 loss. With Wainwright dealing, the Cardinals are on streaks of 18-7 at home, 35-17 overall and 19-7 when they’ve lost their previous game.

San Francisco has stayed under the total in six of Cain’s last eight starts and 12 of his last 18 roadies against teams with winning records. Meanwhile, the Cards have topped the total in six of Wainwright’s last seven starts, but stayed under the number in seven of his last 10 against the N.L. West.

As a team, it’s all “unders” for the Giants, including 15-8-1 on the road, 13-6-1 as a road ‘dog, 8-4 against a right-handed starter and 6-2 in the third game of a series. For St. Louis, the under is on runs of 14-6 as a home favorite, 21-10-1 at home against winning teams and 4-2 overall. In this series, the over has been the play in nine of the last 11 contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO

AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (42-33) at Texas (41-35)

The Rangers snapped the Angels’ six-game winning streak on Tuesday and send veteran righty Kevin Millwood (8-5, 2.64 ERA) to the mound at the Ballpark in Arlington tonight to face Los Angeles’ right-hander, Jered Weaver (8-3, 2.56).

After dropping three straight, Texas came out hitting on Tuesday with eight runs in the first four innings en route to a 9-5 victory over the Angels. The first seven hitters in their lineup all had a hit and the first six all scored at least one run. Los Angeles has won four of five on its current road trip while the Rangers are just 2-3 on the homestand.

Texas has taken six of the last eight meetings against the Angels, who are still rolling with a 13-4 mark in their last 17 overall, 5-1 as a ‘dog and 7-1 on the highway. The Rangers are on streaks of 18-5 against the A.L. West and 8-3 on Wednesdays, but they are just 1-6 against teams with a winning record and 3-6 at home against winning teams.

Weaver has looked shaky in his last two outings, giving up nine runs (eight earned) on 14 hits over 11 1/3 innings in a loss at home to the Dodgers and a road win in Arizona on Friday. He faced these Rangers on May 17 and gave up three runs on six hits over eight innings but go no offensive support in the 3-0 loss. Los Angeles is 4-1 in Weaver’s last five as a ‘dog and 4-0 in his last four roadies, but just 1-4 in his last five against the A.L. West.

Millwood has been magnificent at home, going 6-1 with a 2.17 ERA in the hitter-friendly Ballpark. Friday, he held the Padres to two runs on four hits in six innings of a 12-2 Rangers’ romp, the seventh straight game he’s allowed three runs or less. Texas, which has won four of Millwood’s last five outings, beat the Angels 10-8 on May 15 when the veteran hurler held them to two runs in six innings. With Millwood on the bump, the Rangers are on runs of 5-1 as a home chalk and 19-7 at home overall, but they are just 1-5 when he pitches the third game of a series and 2-6 when he goes on Wednesday.

With Weaver pitching, the Angels are on “under” streaks of 7-2-1 overall, 4-1-1 against teams with winning records and 5-0 in the third game of a series. With Millwood throwing, Texas is on “under” runs of 20-6-2 overall, 8-2 as a favorite, 11-2-1 at home and 6-0-1 in the third game of a series.

As a team, Los Angeles is on “over” runs that include 7-2 against right-handed starters and 15-7-1 on Wednesdays. Meanwhile it’s been all “under” streaks for the Rangers lately, including 44-18-1 overall, 16-6 as a favorite, 21-6-1 at home, 6-2 against A.L. West rivals and 22-9-1 against a right-handed starter. Finally, in this rivalry, the under is 5-2 in the last six clashes in Texas and 6-0-1 when Weaver takes the hill against the Rangers.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

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top dollar

DUNKEL

Boston at Baltimore
The Red Sox look to bounce back after last night’s 11-10 loss and build on their 8-2 record in Josh Beckett’s last 10 starts after their opponent scores 5 or more runs in their previous game. Boston is the pick (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155)

Game 901-902: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.499; Florida (Johnson) 14.936
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Florida (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+165); Under

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 13.867; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.315
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-220); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-220); Under

Game 905-906: Colorado at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 16.302; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.167
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Over

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.680; Pittsburgh (Vasquez) 14.139
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-140); Over

Game 909-910: Arizona at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Garland) 14.010; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.161
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-165); Over

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.942; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.850
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+105); Under

Game 913-914: San Francisco at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.330; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.060
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Under

Game 915-916: Houston at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 15.233; San Diego (Silva) 14.839
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-130); Over

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.781; Toronto (Romero) 16.143
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Over

Game 919-920: Boston at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 16.654; Baltimore (Bergeson) 14.992
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155); Under

Game 921-922: Minnesota at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Perkins) 15.184; Kansas City (Meche) 14.437
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Over

Game 923-924: Detroit at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.781; Oakland (Braden) 15.668
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+125); Under

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Contreras) 15.365; Cleveland (Sowers) 14.121
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+115); Under

Game 927-928: Seattle at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 15.790; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 16.986
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-170); Over

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 16.062; Texas (Millwood) 14.789
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+105); Under

WNBA

Seattle at Phoenix
The Mercury look to build on their 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 home games. Phoenix is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2 1/2)

Game 651-652: Seattle at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 113.171; Phoenix 119.054
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 169 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 173 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2 1/2); Under

CFL

Montreal at Calgary
The Stampeders look to open the regular season by building on their 5-0-1 record over their last six home games. Calgary is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-7)

Game 401-402: Toronto at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 100.565; Hamilton 106.519
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 6; 58
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-2); Over

Game 403-404: Montreal at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 112.586; Calgary 124.520
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 12; 49
Vegas Line: Calgary by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-7); Under

 
top dollar

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rays and Twins Tuesday night.

Today it’s the Rays and Twins. The surplus is 790 sirignanos.

 
top dollar

Hot lines:
Wednesday’s best MLB bets
By COVERS

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (-110, 9.5)

The last time the Los Angeles Angels visited Rangers Ballpark in Arlington in the middle of May, they were handed a three-game sweep by Texas. They are a very different team this time.

After the series finale May 17, the Angels were 5-10 on the road. Since then, they are 17-7 away from home, building the best overall road record in the American League.

Los Angeles has won seven straight road games, including Monday’s series opener. It has scored 52 runs during the road streak while allowing three runs or less in five of those games.

“We can beat you in a lot of ways with our offense,” sparkplug Chone Figgins told the team’s web site. “We can apply pressure with our speed and aggressiveness on the bases, and we can go deep, too.”

The Angels, who have won six in a row overall, also should get a boost from Jered Weaver, who has won his last three road starts.

Pick: Los Angeles

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians (-120, 9.5)

The Cleveland Indians have lost 11 of their last 13 games, and poor pitching is the primary reason.

During their slide, the Indians have given up six or more runs 10 times, losing every one of those games. Overall, Cleveland is allowing nearly seven runs per contest.

It would be understandable if the Indians were taking their beatings from the top-hitting clubs like the New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Devil Rays or Boston Red Sox. But the teams pounding Cleveland have been otherwise punchless – the Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh and now the Chicago White Sox.

Jeremy Sowers starts for the Indians, and he has taken a few poundings, too. Cleveland has lost seven of his last nine starts.

Pick: Chicago

 
top dollar

ANDRÉ MARCHAND

Toronto Argonauts (4-14 in 2008) vs Hamilton Tiger Cats (3-15 in 2008)

These two teams invited no less than 90 new players at their training camps. Toronto wishes the acquisition of linebacker Zeke Moreno will transform their defence but will he be surrounded adequately? Nothing is less sure. At QB, the Argonauts look better off with Kerry Joseph but many will predict a very bright future to Quinton Porter, Hamilton’s quarterback. But just when is that future? These are two teams trying to rebuild and at the present time, Hamilton shows many more question marks and therefore could most likely miss the playoffs for a fifth year in a row.

Prediction: Toronto

Montreal Alouettes (11-7 in 2008) vs Calgary Stampeders (13-5 in 2008)

The Grey Cup finalists square off once more, this time in Calgary at McMahon Stadium. The nucleus of both teams is pretty much intact yet you can expect a lot of points to be scored in that game where two of the best passers in the CFL, Anthony Calvillo et Henry Burris, will face each other. The defensive line of the Stampeders remains suspect while the Als will show a rejuvenated defence that will try to play more aggressively. This could be a preview of the next Grey Cup game but for this opening night, the Stampeders, with the support of their loyal fans, should prevail. But it might very well be by a narrow margin.

Prediction: Calgary

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-10 in 2008 vs Edmonton Eskimos (10-8 in 2008)

The Eskimos may be the most improved team in the CFL and they could even end up wining the Western Conference. The Blue Bombers have also improved during the offseason and they should be pursuing the Alouettes for the Eastern Conference title. But one can still wonder if Stefan LeFors is the QB that will bring them back to the glory days in Winnipeg. If the youthful secondary of the Eskimos hangs on, their new head coach Richie Hall could celebrate his first win at the helm of this Edmonton squad.

Prediction: Edmonton

B.C. Lions (11-7 in 2008) vs Saskatchewan Roughriders (12-6 in 2008)

The Lions will miss defensive end Cam Wake and running back Stefan Logan, who both departed for the riches of the NFL. And that’s without mentioning the losses of tackle Rob Murphy, slotback Jason Clermont or linebacker Otis Floyd. But the Lions still have tremendous passing power and defensively they are still stronger than the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The Riders are a squad who seem condemned to a year of misery, especially with many injuries at key positions for the start of this season. B.C. fans probably won’t have has many reasons to rejoice this season as in the past but at least they should celebrate a victory this week in Regina.

Prediction: B.C.

 
top dollar

Canadian bacon:
CFL season betting preview
By CHARLES-ANDRÉ MARCHAND

If bettors are looking for something to hold them over until college and NFL football begins, the CFL is a great way to warm up your wagering. Our Canadian Football League insider gives you his predictions for the 2009 season.

WESTERN CONFERENCE

Prediction

1. Edmonton Eskimos 16-2
2. Calgary Stampeders 12-6
3. B.C. Lions 5-13
4. Saskatchewan Roughriders 4-14

EDMONTON ESKIMOS (+200 to win Grey Cup)

Certainties

The acquisition of injury-prone halfback Jesse Lumsden could make a world of difference for this offence. Ricky Ray and slot back Kamaur Peterson are still the pillars of the offence. On the defensive side, the additions of linebacker Maurice Lloyd, defensive halfback Kelly Malveaux and defensive end Kai Ellis beef up the Eskimos depth chart.

Question Marks

The biggest lost is slot back Kelly Campbell, who received an invitation from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL. But this team has plenty of good receives and his absence should go unnoticed.

CALGARY STAMPEDERS (+175)

Certainties

Henry Burris is still one of the best QBs in the league and he can still rely on slotback Nik Lewis or WR Ken-Yon Rambo. Halfback Joffrey Reynolds is also back, giving Burris a chance to diversify the schemes. The addition of former QB Dave **enson as an assistant offensive coordinator should reinforce a very capable coaching staff led by coach of the year John Hufnagel.

Question Marks

The Stampeders defensive front will suffer from the departure of defensive end Charleston Hughes (Philadelphia Eagles). The special teams unit will miss long snapper Pat Macdonald (Carolina Panthers).

B.C. LIONS (+500)

Certainties

The Lions offensive will still be a threat with Buck Pierce at QB and many talented targets around him, including slot backs Geroy Simon and Paris Jackson. The secondary is still solid with the returns of linebacker Barron Miles and defensive backs Korey Bank and Bren Johnson.

Question Marks

Can the Lions replace a defensive end with the skills of Cam Wake (Miami Dolphins) or a fullback like Stefan Logan (Pittsburgh Steelers)? Those two losses alone should hurt the Lions considerably during the course of the season.

SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (+1300)

Certainties

The Roughriders will score plenty of points. There is no doubt about that. Michael Bishop has been fired but Darian Durant is a very efficient QB and will be surrounded by halfback Wes Cates, slotback Andy Fantuz and WR Weston Dressler. The addition of local star Jason Clermont gives even more depth to the offence, despite the loss of good players to free agency and trades made for economical purposes.

Question Marks

Linebacker Scott Gordon left Regina for Edmonton as a free agent. Linebackers Anton MacKenzie and Kitwana Jones also took off. The offensive line was weakened by the departures of Steve Morley and Glen January during free agency.

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Prediction

1. Montreal Alouettes 12-6
2. Winnipeg Blue Bombers 11-7
3. Toronto Argonauts 6-12
4. Hamilton Tiger Cats 4-14

MONTREAL ALOUETTES (+375 to win Grey Cup)

Certainties

The nucleus that took the Als to the Grey Cup final is pretty much intact but training camp showed lots of upcoming players that could soon develop into key elements. Adrian McPherson took over Brad Banks No. 2 spot behind starting QB Anthony Calvillo. Linebacker Shea Emry was so brilliant he stole veteran Reggie Hunt’s job and behind Avon Cobourne, young halfbacks like Brendan Whittaker made a big impression.

Question Marks

The Alouettes will have a much improved defence and will rely more on man-to-man coverage. Still, they have to find a way to concede less rushing yards. If Montreal was the least generous in points allowed, it was far more generous in terms of yards allowed.

WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (+1100)

Certainties

If former Eskimo Stefan LeFors becomes the QB they hope, the Blue Bombers will tail the Alouettes all season long. If not, their season will resemble the last one: a second place finish with a record under .500. The offensive line is improved with the acquisitions of Glenn January from Edmonton and former Alouette Luke Fritz, who showed up in the best physical condition of his career. The Bombers running game will also be very dangerous with the likes of Fred Reid and Lavarius Giles.

Question Marks

The Blue Bombers defence lost many key elements. Linebacker Zeke Moreno was traded to Toronto, defensive end Kelly Malveaux has been shipped to Edmonton, tackle Jerome Haywood and cornerback Stanford Samuels chose to sign with Montreal as free agents and defensive end is now with the Eskimos.

TORONTO ARGONAUTS (+875)

Certainties

New head coach Bart Andrus has the hefty job of leading these Argos to victory and respectability. The Argos did replenish during the offseason and certain acquisitions will have an immediate impact. The offensive line is solid with the arrivals of free agents Rob Murphy and Dominic Picard.

Question Marks

The defensive front of the Argos is a cause for concern – and so is the secondary. Unless newcomers start emerging quickly, Toronto will continue to give up too much yardage.

HAMILTON TIGER CATS (+1600)

Certainties

Quinton Porter will be the No. 1 QB but Kevin Glenn, acquired through free agency, will be ready to take over if that should prove necessary. The offensive line has improved with the acquisitions of tackles Alexandre Gauthier and Dan Goodspeed. Former Alouette Dave Stala is an experienced WR that will prove useful to Porter.

Question Marks

The question marks are so numerous with the Tiger Cats that one wonders where to start. Their excellent but fragile HB Jesse Lumsden is gone to Edmonton, leaving Terry Caulley’s responsible for the running game. If the offensive line crumbles, he won’t be able to do much.

 
top dollar

Lady Luck:
Wednesday’s best WNBA bet
By COVERS

Seattle Storm at Phoenix Mercury (-2, 174)

The Phoenix Mercury score points – and give them up – almost as well as their NBA brothers.

Those longing for the “Seven Seconds or Less” offense should check out the Mercury (6-4), who average 90.4 points in games eight minutes shorter than NBA contests. Phoenix also surrenders 89.7 points per game. The over is 8-2 in Phoenix’s games.

Already this season, the Mercury have set a league record with 115 points vs. Sacramento on June 13. Two weeks later, they nearly allowed Minnesota to break their record by giving up 109 points.

Phoenix has five players averaging double figures, including Diana Taurasi (21.1 ppg) and Cappie Pondexter (20.4), who rank second and fourth in the league in scoring.

The duo will be trying to topple Lauren Jackson, the center for the Storm (6-3) who leads the league at 22.8 points and racked up 25 in Seattle’s 93-84 win at Phoenix on June 21.

Pick: Over

 

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