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top dollar (GOLD MEMBER) 9 months ago | 6 responses    

SPORTS ADVISORS

San Francisco (40-34) at St. Louis (41-36)
After salvaging one game in a weekend set in Milwaukee, the Giants move on to St. Louis’ Busch Stadium where they will send ace Tim Lincecum (7-2, 2.57 ERA) to the mound opposite the Cardinals’ Brad Thompson (2-3, 4.50).

San Francisco got a 7-0 win on Sunday over the Brewers after dropping the first two games of the series. Young hurler Ryan Sadowski led the way, throwing six inning of shutout baseball in his first major league start. St. Louis fell to the Twins on Sunday, 6-2, dropping the Cards to 1-5 in their last six overall. In this series, the Giants have won four of the last five.

The Giants are on slides of 12-28 against teams from the N.L. Central and 9-20 on the road against teams with winning records. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 9-4 in their last 13 against right-handed starters, but just 17-35 on Mondays, 0-5 against the N.L. West and 2-8 in series openers.

Lincecum is 4-1 on the road with a 2.57 ERA and he’s 2-1 in his last three outings with a 1.38 ERA. Tuesday he gave up one run in a complete-game, 4-1, win in Oakland. He’s lasted at least six innings in each of his last 10 starts and held the opposition to three runs or less in nine of those 10, including seven straight. Last time he was in St. Louis was April 2008 when he held the Cardinals scoreless for seven innings in a 3-0 San Francisco victory. With Lincecum on the mound, the Giants are on runs of 5-2 on the road, 9-3 in series openers and 7-3 against N.L. Central squads.

Thompson has made three straight road starts, including Wednesday in New York when the Mets got him for five runs in five innings and beat the Cardinals 11-0. He’s allowed three runs or more in five of his last seven outings and has a 5.12 ERA at home this season. In his lone start against the Giants, he allowed two runs in two innings back in 2006. With Thompson starting, the Cardinals are on streaks of 10-3 at home, 9-4 overall and 6-2 against the N.L. West.

The under has been the play for the Giants in Lincecum’s last four starts and it is 4-1 in his last five outings after five days of rest. The under has also been the play in eight of Thompson’s last 11 starts overall, including four of his last five at Busch.

As a team, the Giants are on “under” streaks of 15-6-1 on the road, 6-2 overall, 5-1 against right-handed starters and 7-2 on the road against teams with winning home records. For the Cardinals, the “over” is 5-1 in their last six against the N.L. West, but the “under” is on runs of 14-6 at home, 5-1 overall and 21-8-1 at home against a team with a winning record. In this series, the “over” has been the play in seven of the last nine.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (41-32) at Texas (40-34)
With interleague play now out of the way, the top two teams in the American League West open a three-game set at the Ballpark in Arlington when the Angels send Sean O’Sullivan (1-0, 3.00 ERA) to the mound to face Rangers’ veteran Vicente Padilla (6-3, 4.48).

Los Angeles comes in having won five in a row, including a three-game sweep in Arizona that concluded with Sunday’s 12-8 victory. Texas has won four of six overall but lost two straight at home to the Padres over the weekend, finishing the series with a 2-0 loss Sunday.
The Rangers swept a May three-game home series over the Angels and they’ve won five of the last six series clashes dating back to last season. Otherwise, Los Angeles is on several positive runs, including 6-0 on the road, 6-1 in series openers and 6-2 on the road against teams with winning records. Texas has dropped five in a row against teams with winning records, but it is on runs of 17-4 against A.L. West rivals, 5-2 overall and 5-2 against right-handed starters.

O’Sullivan is making just his third career start, looking sharp in his first two big-league outings. He gave up three runs on six hits in five innings of a 4-3 win over the Rockies on Tuesday and held the Giants to one run on five hits in seven innings of an 8-1 win in his debut on June 16.
Padilla has looked great in his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA. On Wednesday, he allowed one run through seven innings of a 2-1 Texas win at Arizona and the Rangers have won six of his last eight starts. With Padilla starting, they are also on runs of 35-17 overall, 6-2 in series openers and 12-3 when Padilla starts against the A.L. West. He faced the Angels back on May 16 and gave up just three runs in eight innings of a 5-3 Texas victory. The Rangers have won three of his last four starts against Los Angeles and is 6-3 with a 4.72 ERA in his career against the Angels.

With Padilla on the hill, the Rangers are on “over” runs of 22-5-2 in series openers, 4-0 on Mondays and 20-9-1 against teams with winning records. As a team, Texas is on a plethora of “under” streaks that include 43-17-1 overall, 23-6-1 at home, 5-1 against the A.L. West and 7-0-1 at home against teams with winning records. The Angels have topped the total in four straight Monday games, five straight series openers and six of seven against right-handed starters. In this rivalry, the over is 7-3-1 in Padilla’s last 11 against the Angels, but the under is 4-1 in the last five overall in Texas.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE