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Friday 6-19 Service Plays
top dollar (GOLD MEMBER) 9 months ago
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5 responses
SPORTS ADVISORS
Milwaukee (37-29) at Detroit (35-31)
The surging Brewers will send right-hander Braden Looper (5-3, 4.62) to the mound at Comerica Park for the opener of a three-game interleague set against the Tigers, who will counter with right-hander Armando Galarraga (3-7, 5.56).
Milwaukee is coming off a three-game road sweep of Cleveland, piling up 30 runs but also allowing 25, capped by a 9-8, 11-inning victory Wednesday night. The Brewers are on positive streaks of 5-1 on the highway, 14-3 in series openers and 20-6 against winning teams, but despite their success against the last-place Indians, they remain just 4-9 in their last 13 interleague roadies.
Detroit avoided a three-game sweep at St. Louis by posting a 6-3 victory Thursday night, halting a four-game skid in the process as it wrapped up an 11-game road trip with a 5-6 record. The Tigers, who lead the A.L. Central, are on upswings of 46-21 in interleague play and 37-14 in home interleague contests, but they are also on slides of 14-29 in series openers, 2-6 at home overall and 3-6 against winning teams.
These two squads last met in 2007, with visiting Milwaukee taking two of three, after Detroit took two of three on the road in 2006.
Looper got no-decisions in his last two starts, both Milwaukee losses, including Sunday’s 5-4 home setback to the White Sox. Despite an inflated 6.89 career ERA against Detroit, Looper is 3-1 in eight appearances (two starts), and the veteran is 2-2 with a 5.19 ERA in five road starts this season. On the bright side, the Brew Crew is 6-1 in Looper’s last seven starts against winning teams.
Detroit has dropped seven of Galarraga’s last nine starts, with the righty failing to record a win since April 26. Galarraga is 0-7 in those nine outings, allowing 38 runs in 45 1/3 innings, for a bloated 7.54 ERA. In his lone career start against St. Louis, he allowed five runs (four earned) in 4 2/3 innings last June, though Detroit posted an 8-7 home win. The 27-year-old is 2-3 with a 5.17 ERA in six home starts this year.
The Tigers are 4-1 in Galarraga’s last five starts against winning teams, but they’re 1-5 in his last six series openers.
The over for Milwaukee is on surges of 4-0 overall (all in interleague play), 4-0 on the road, 7-2 as an interleague pup and 5-1 with Looper facing a winning team. On the flip side, Detroit carries “under” runs of 21-9 overall, 10-2 at home, 9-3 against winning teams and 20-8-1 in interleague play.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE
L.A. Dodgers (44-23) at L.A. Angels (35-29)
The streaking Angels trot out southpaw Joe Saunders (7-4, 3.66 ERA) to open their three-game Freeway Series with the neighborhood rival Dodgers, who will start ace right-hander Chad Billingsley (9-3, 2.72).
The Angels have swept their last two series, both against the National League West. Last weekend, they took three straight from San Diego at home, then went north to San Francisco where they scored three more victories against the Giants, capped by Wednesday’s 4-3 victory. During the six-game winning streak,, the Angels’ offense has been explosive, racking up 47 runs while allowing just 18. The Angels have won their last four series openers and are on further streaks of 4-0 at home, 18-5 against the N.L. West and 38-17 in interleague play.
The Dodgers have won four of their last five, most recently taking two of three from Oakland, including Thursday’s 3-2 victory to close out a three-game home set. The Dodgers are on upswings of 42-20 overall and 11-4 on the road, but they are on purges of 20-43 in their last 63 interleague contests and 14-37 in their last 51 interleague roadies. They are also on a 5-17 slide against left-handers from the American League.
The Angels took two of three at Dodger Stadium last month and are on further runs in this rivalry of 12-5 overall and 20-7 on their home field.
Saunders shut down the visiting Padres in his last start, allowing one run (a solo homer) on seven hits and a walk in 8 1/3 innings of a 9-1 home win Saturday. In three starts prior to that, the lefty gave up 13 earned runs over 19 1/3 innings (6.05 ERA), with the Angels losing all three contests. Saunders is 3-2 with a 2.74 ERA in six home starts this year, and he’s 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA in two career starts against the Dodgers.
With Saunders taking the ball, the Angels are on runs of 52-24 overall, 5-1 in interleague play, 20-6 in series openers and 28-13 at home.
Billingsley has followed up a two-game slide – including a loss to the Angels – with three straight victories, allowing a total of five runs in 18 2/3 innings (2.41 ERA). On Sunday at Texas, he yielded three runs (two earned) on five hits and a walk as the Dodgers notched a 6-3 victory. The 24-year-old is 3-1 with a solid 1.94 ERA in six road starts this season.
Billingsley dropped to 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against the Angels with last month’s 10-7, series-concluding loss, yielding five runs (four earned) on nine hits and a walk in six innings. Still, the Dodgers are on several strong runs behind Billingsley, including 11-3 overall, 5-1 on the road and 4-1 in interleague play.
The over is 5-2-1 in the Angels’ last seven games, all against the N.L. West. However, the Halos are also on ‘under” runs of 10-3 against righties and 5-1 in Saunders’ last six interleague starts. In addition, the under for the Dodgers is on rolls of 6-1 on the road, 6-1 against winning teams, 12-4 in interleague games and 4-0-2 in Billingsley’s last six road outings.
Finally, the total has stayed low in nine of the last 13 meetings overall in this rivalry and is 9-3-1 in the last 13 battles in Anaheim.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
280 – 183 run 60 % 23-12 run here
FRI PHIL PHILLIES
Ratedpicks
Chicago WhiteSox +100
Toronto BlueJays -105
LA Angels +100
Arizona D’backs/Seattle Mariners OVER 8
Scott Delaney
20 DIME MILWAUKEE BREWERS (Action) – I like the way the Brewers are playing right now, and think is the perfect spot for them to keep this run alive. The surging Brewers come in after posting a three-game road sweep in Cleveland, where they tallied 30 runs and appear to be ready to maintain their lead in the NL Central while pulling even at .500 in Interleague play this season.
Milwaukee, which has won four of nine Interleague games, come in on winning streaks of 5-1 with a suitcase in hand, 14-3 in series openers and 20-6 against winning teams.
On the flipside, we’re siding against a Tigers team that clawed its way to a 6-3 win last night in St. Louis, avoiding a three-game sweep by the Cardinals. Nevertheless, they’re still mired in a 1-4 skid overall, and come into this series on losing ruts of 14-29 in series openers, 2-6 at home and 3-6 against winning teams.
Though we’re not listing Braden Looper, might be good to note he is 3-1 in eight appearances (two starts) against the Tigers. In addition, the Brew Crew is 6-1 in his last seven starts against winning teams.
On the other hand, Detroit has dropped seven of Armando Galarraga’s last nine starts, as the righty has failed to record a win in almost two months – since April 26. Galarraga is 0-7 in those nine outings, allowing 38 runs over 45-1/3 innings, for a sky-high 7.54 ERA.
The Tigers are also 1-5 the last six times he’s pitched in series openers, so the Brewers should be able to hit him quite easily.
Take the slim road pup here.
5 DIME UNDER AstrosTwins (WITH Oswalt/Slowey) – A pair of incredible ace hurlers will toe the slab tonight, and though it takes place in the Homer Domer, I’ll look for this one to stay low. Houston’s Roy Oswalt and Minnesota’s Kevin Slowey will put on a show for anyone who likes pitching duels.
Minnesota improved to 7-2 in Interleague play with a 5-1 win over Pittsburgh last night, the Twins are 21-6 against the senior circuit since the start of last season and Slowey is looking to become the majors’ second 10-game winner. That’s the motivation for the home team.
And since Slowey is 6-1 with a 2.58 ERA in nine starts versus NL foes, I expect Oswalt to accept the challenge and turn this into a showcase from the mound. The Houston right-hander comes in with a 10-7 mark and 3.48 ERA in 24 Interleague starts, while he’s 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in two appearances against the Twins.
Slowey has been overpowering, which will be good enough to shut down the Astros’ lineup, while Oswalt has seemingly re-established his breaking ball and will keep the Twins off-balance to keep his team in this one.
I am not game enough to take the obvious choice with the Twins, as it looks too easy; instead we play this one under.
Ron Raymond
5* Minnesota Twins -150
5* Diamondbacks / Mariners Under 7.5
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9 months ago top dollar (GOLD MEMBER) said ...
DUNKEL
St. Louis at Kansas City
The Cards come in just 3-8 in their last 11 games against teams with a losing record and face a Kansas City club (29-36 SU) that is 7-3 in Kyle Davies’ last 10 starts. The Royals are the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has Kansas City favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120).
Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 16.403; Colorado (Marquis) 15.826
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+170); Under
Game 903-904: Cleveland at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lee) 15.794; Cubs (Harden) 15.174
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); N/A
Game 905-906: Baltimore at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hill) 14.910; Philadelphia (Bastardo) 16.319
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); Under
Game 907-908: Toronto at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 14.431; Washington (Zimmerman) 16.107
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110); Under
Game 909-910: Milwaukee at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 15.610; Detroit (Galarraga) 14.480
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Under
Game 911-912: NY Yankees at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 14.761; Florida (West) 15.887
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+125); Over
Game 913-914: Tampa Bay at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 15.733; NY Mets (Nieve) 15.645
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Over
Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Contreras) 13.980; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.225
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); Under
Game 917-918: Atlanta at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Kawakami) 14.889; Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.961
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under
Game 919-920: Houston at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 15.761; Minnesota (Slowey) 15.280
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under
Game 921-922: St. Louis at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Thompson) 13.413; Kansas City (Davies) 14.786
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under
Game 923-924: Oakland at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Outman) 13.893; San Diego (Leblanc) 14.624
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Under
Game 925-926: LA Dodgers at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.282; LA Angels (Saunders) 15.737
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodges (-120); Over
Game 927-928: Arizona at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Garland) 16.214; Seattle (Washburn) 14.977
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+145); Under
Game 929-930: Texas at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 15.773; San Francisco (Johnson) 14.509
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); Over
WNBA
Chicago at Connecticut
The Sky look to take advantage of a Connecticut team that is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games overall. Chicago is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has Connecticut favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+5).
Game 601-602: Chicago at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 109.061; Connecticut 111.253
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 2; 142
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 5; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+5); Under
Game 603-604: San Antonio at New York
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 109.239; New York 112.380
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 3; 132
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+5 1/2); Under
Game 605-606: Indiana at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 111.338; Detroit 117.460
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 143
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4); Over
Game 607-608: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.870; Atlanta 108.508
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 151
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2); Under
Game 609-610: Los Angeles at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 110.145; Phoenix 118.599
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 171 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4); Over
Game 611-612: Minnesota at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 108.673; Seattle 119.465
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 11; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 9; 153
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-9); Over